Ham-Kam vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Ham-Kam 1-5 Molde.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Ham-Kam, 31% draw, 37% Molde — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Molde at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Molde
Line-ups
- 12M. SandbergG
- 22S. NilsenD
- 2M. GjoneD
- 23F. SjølstadD
- 3E. Amundsen-DayD
- 7V. JónssonD
- 8M. JohnsgårdM
- 14L. MaresM
- 6W. Osnes-RingenM
- 28David BenjaminF
- 11M. OfkirF
- 24D. Al-SaedF
- 5A. AndresenD
- 29B. IsufiM
- 26P. MetcalfeM
- 10L. MettlerM
- 18Duarte MoreiraF
- 13S. ØstraatG
- 16A. TrondsenM
- 19H. UdahlF
- 22A. PosiadałaG
- 8M. LøvikD
- 6N. ØdegårdD
- 33B. RisaD
- 26S. KabiniD
- 10E. BreivikM
- 30D. DagaM
- 24Trent Toure Kone DohertyM
- 23S. GranaasM
- 16S. KilenM
- 9J. AbdulaiF
- 21O. Spiten-NysæterF
- 20K. LonebuF
- 25M. LinnesD
- 12P. LervikG
- 11C. Zady SeryF
- 27F. DahlD
- 17M. Møller DæhliM
- 28V. BenderM
- 45N. L. ByeD
Form going into Ham-Kam vs Molde
Ham-Kam
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Rosenborg5 September 2026
- D2-2Kristiansund BK30 August 2026
- L0-3away to Brann16 August 2026
- D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
- W3-0away to Valerenga31 July 2026
Molde
All competitions we cover
- W2-0KFUM Oslo6 September 2026
- W4-3away to Valerenga30 August 2026
- W3-2Tromso16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Kristiansund BK9 August 2026
- D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF2 August 2026
What these results say
- Ham-Kam failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ham-Kam conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Ham-Kam had three goals or more.
- Molde scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Molde conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Molde had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 30 |
| 5 | Molde | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 44 | +20 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Molde
- 12 April 2026Molde 4–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 9 August 2025Molde 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 25 May 2025Ham-Kam 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 25 August 2024Molde 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 7 April 2024Ham-Kam 0–1 MoldeEliteserien
Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Molde
Ham-Kam
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.
Molde
GoalsAssists
- K. Lonebu152
- E. Breivik1010
- E. Hestad82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Molde won 5–1 at Ham-Kam. The model had made a win for Molde its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jalal Abdullai 5' for Molde, Mohamed Ofkir 46' for Ham-Kam, Trent Kone-Doherty 56' for Molde, Trent Kone-Doherty 58' for Molde, Trent Kone-Doherty 84' for Molde, Kristian Lonebu 90' for Molde.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.