13 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result

Eleda Stadion
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte IS.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Malmo FF, 31% draw, 33% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Malmo FF at 36% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁kenan busuladzicout: Jovan Milosavljević
20'
49'
🔁Viktor Ekblomout: Anton Andreasson
Adrian Skogmar
52'
⚽Jovan Milosavljevićassist: Theodor Lundbergh
58'
🔁Theodor Lundberghout: Isaac Assibu
68'
🔁Busanelloout: Noah Åstrand John
68'
⚽Otto Rosengren
71'
Anton Sebastian Höög
74'
77'
🔁Christoffer Styffeout: Johan Hammar
77'
🔁Daniel Paulsonout: David Obou
77'
🔁Benjamin laturnusout: Marlon Ebietomere
Stian Gregersen
80'
82'
⚽Tobias Sana (pen)
🔁Anton Sebastian Höögout: Viggo Jeppsson
86'
🔁Malte Vilhelm Frejd Pålssonout: Bleon Kurtulus
86'
86'
🔁S.Lagerlundout: Hampus Dahlqvist
⚽Bleon Kurtulusassist: Otto Rosengren
90'
Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup
90+1'
⚽Owen Parker Price (OG)
90+4'

Match stats — Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS

56%Possession44%
25Shots7
12On target1
5Corners3

Line-ups

Malmo FF 4-4-2
  • 1R. OlsenG
  • 17J. Stryger LarsenD
  • 2S. GregersenD
  • 44M. PålssonD
  • 25BusanelloD
  • 40K. BusuladžićM
  • 7O. RosengrenM
  • 37A. SkogmarM
  • 47Theodor LundberghM
  • 32D. GuðjohnsenF
  • 45A. HoogF
Substitutes
  • 39Isaac AssibuF
  • 27J. DahlinG
  • 6Y. KarabelyovM
  • 4B. KurtulusD
  • 15Mayckel LahdoF
  • 28J. MilosavljevićM
  • 23N. Åstrand JohnD
  • 42V. JeppssonM
Coach: G. Helstrup
Orgryte IS 5-4-1
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 18A. AnderssonD
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 14D. PaulsonD
  • 17W. HofvanderM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 8B. LaturnusM
  • 22T. SanaM
  • 32Viktor EkblomF
Substitutes
  • 19A. AndreassonD
  • 16H. DahlqvistD
  • 29Marlon EbietomereD
  • 25J. HammarD
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 34A. RahmG
  • 7C. VindehallM
  • 11David ObouF
  • 3J. AzulayD
Coach: A. Holmberg

Form going into Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS

Malmo FF

  • D0-0AIK Stockholm7 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Sirius31 August 2026
  • L0-3Djurgardens IF24 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Gais16 August 2026

Orgryte IS

  • D1-1Hammarby FF6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to IFK Goteborg30 August 2026
  • D1-1Halmstad22 August 2026
  • L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Malmo FF2110383731+633
15Orgryte IS2136122447-2315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS

  • 13 September 2026Malmo FF 4–1 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
  • 5 April 2026Orgryte IS 1–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Malmo FF and Orgryte IS

Malmo FF

  • E. Botheim10 goals3 assists

Orgryte IS

  • N. Christoffersson8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.