Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye Super League prediction & result
Final score: Hangzhou Greentown 4-0 Henan Jianye.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Hangzhou Greentown, 23% draw, 29% Henan Jianye — fair odds of 2.08, 4.35 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hangzhou Greentown at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
Line-ups
- 33Bo ZhaoG
- 16Tong LeiD
- 5Liu HaofanD
- 36Lucas PossignoloD
- 26Guowen SunD
- 22Cheng JinM
- 4Jin-seob ParkM
- 11Wang YudongM
- 10Marko TolićM
- 28Alexandru MitrițăM
- 27Felippe CardosoF
- 25Xu JunchiD
- 7Qianglong TaoF
- 17Shiqin WangD
- 6Bao ShengxinM
- 9Di GaoF
- 1Chunyu DongG
- 38Zhang AihuiD
- 3Wang ChangD
- 8Alexander N'DoumbouM
- 17Jinshuai WangG
- 4Yeljan ShinarD
- 2Iago MaidanaD
- 3Oliver GerbigD
- 11Nebijan MuhmetD
- 30Xulin FanM
- 15Abraham HalikM
- 6Shangyuan WangM
- 7Yihao ZhongM
- 10Bruno NazárioF
- 8MaranhãoF
- 13Abdurasul AbudulamM
- 24Congyao YinF
- 39Osman EkberM
- 16Kuo YangD
- 33Chenglong ShiG
- 18Gouming WangG
- 26Jiamin XuG
- 27Yixin LiuD
- 28Changjie DuD
Form going into Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
Super League
- W4-2away to Shenyang Urban24 October 2026
- L0-5away to Shandong Luneng17 October 2026
- L2-4SHANGHAI SIPG9 October 2026
- W4-1Wuhan Three Towns18 September 2026
Henan Jianye
Super League
- L3-4Beijing Guoan24 October 2026
- L0-1Tianjin Teda16 October 2026
- D2-2away to Sichuan Jiuniu9 October 2026
- D1-1away to Wuhan Three Towns12 September 2026
What these results say
- Hangzhou Greentown conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Hangzhou Greentown had three goals or more.
- Hangzhou Greentown scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Henan Jianye did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Henan Jianye conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Henan Jianye scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 37 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
- 30 May 2026Henan Jianye 0–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 25 October 2025Henan Jianye 2–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 22 June 2025Henan Jianye 3–2 Hangzhou GreentownFA Cup
- 16 May 2025Hangzhou Greentown 2–2 Henan JianyeSuper League
- 21 July 2024Henan Jianye 2–1 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 30 April 2024Hangzhou Greentown 4–1 Henan JianyeSuper League
Leading scorers: Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
GoalsAssists
- A. Mitriță1315
Henan Jianye
GoalsAssists
- Gustavo156
- Bruno Nazário106
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hangzhou Greentown beat Henan Jianye 4–0. The model had made a win for Hangzhou Greentown its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Tolic 32' for Hangzhou Greentown, Felippe Cardoso 40' for Hangzhou Greentown, A. Mitrita 54' for Hangzhou Greentown, Felippe Cardoso 80' for Hangzhou Greentown.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.