8 November 2026, 07:30 UTC

Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City Super League prediction & result

Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Referee: Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Shandong Luneng 3-2 Chengdu Better City.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Shandong Luneng, 24% draw, 27% Chengdu Better City — fair odds of 2.04, 4.17 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Shandong Luneng at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Shandong Luneng96%Draw4%Chengdu Better City0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Matheus Jussa
🔁Xie Wennengout: R. Merkies
8'
R. Merkies
11'
⚽R. Merkies
15'
⚽Guilherme Madruga
23'
38'
⚽Felipe Silvaassist: H. Hu
🔁Y. Liout: Huang Zhengyu
46'
⚽Cryzanassist: Zeca
63'
Cryzan
65'
67'
🔁Abduweli Behramout: Wang Ziming
🔁Peng Xiaoout: Memet Imran
67'
67'
🔁Yang Ming-Yangout: Liao Lisheng
73'
Liao Lisheng
76'
🔁He Yiranout: Wang Dongsheng
79'
⚽Wellington Silvaassist: Matheus Jussa
🔁Chen Puout: Wang Tong
80'
🔁Zecaout: Yang Ruiqi
90+1'
Huang Zhengyu
90+1'

Match stats — Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City

49%Possession51%
18Shots21
6On target4
6Corners4

Line-ups

Shandong Luneng 3-4-3
  • 14Dalei WangG
  • 3Peng XiaoD
  • 23Pedro ÁlvaroD
  • 11Yang LiuD
  • 7Wenneng XieM
  • 8Guilherme MadrugaM
  • 22Yuanyi LiM
  • 29Chen PuM
  • 9CryzanF
  • 19ZecaF
  • 10Valeri QazaishviliF
Substitutes
  • 17Raphaël MerkiesF
  • 35Zhengyu HuangD
  • 38Memet ImranM
  • 6Tong WangD
  • 2Yang RuiqiD
  • 32Qihang SunG
  • 36Qiwei LiuG
  • 1Yu JinyongG
  • 33Zhunyi GaoD
Chengdu Better City 4-3-3
  • 32Liu DianzuoG
  • 4He YiranD
  • 18Han PengfeiD
  • 28Egor SorokinD
  • 2Hu HetaoD
  • 27Baihelamu AbuduwailiM
  • 5Matheus JussaM
  • 16Yang Ming-YangM
  • 10RômuloF
  • 9Felipe SilvaF
  • 11Wellington SilvaF
Substitutes
  • 23Liao LishengM
  • 20Wang ZimingF
  • 17Wang DongshengD
  • 15Weifeng RanG
  • 1Tao JianG
  • 22Yang LiD
  • 19Dong YanfengD
  • 58Liao RongxiangM
  • 29Iminqari MutallepM

Form going into Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City

Shandong Luneng

Super League

  • W5-3away to Wuhan Three Towns24 October 2026
  • W5-0Hangzhou Greentown17 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Chongqing Tongliang Long11 October 2026
  • D1-1Sichuan Jiuniu5 September 2026

Chengdu Better City

Super League

  • L0-1Dalian Zhixing24 October 2026
  • L0-3away to SHANGHAI SIPG18 October 2026
  • L0-1Tianjin Teda10 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Henan Jianye6 September 2026

What these results say

  • Shandong Luneng went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Shandong Luneng scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Shandong Luneng conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Chengdu Better City did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Chengdu Better City failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Chengdu Better City conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Shandong Luneng3016596049+1147
2Chengdu Better City3015785338+1552

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City

  • 30 May 2026Chengdu Better City 1–0 Shandong LunengSuper League
  • 2 August 2025Chengdu Better City 2–1 Shandong LunengSuper League
  • 20 June 2025Shandong Luneng 1–3 Chengdu Better CityFA Cup
  • 2 April 2025Shandong Luneng 0–3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
  • 24 September 2024Shandong Luneng 1–0 Chengdu Better CityFA Cup
  • 17 August 2024Shandong Luneng 3–0 Chengdu Better CitySuper League

Leading scorers: Shandong Luneng and Chengdu Better City

Shandong Luneng

GoalsAssists

  • Cryzan209
  • V. Qazaishvili1010

Chengdu Better City

GoalsAssists

  • Felipe183
  • Wellington Silva106

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Shandong Luneng beat Chengdu Better City 3–2. The model had made a win for Shandong Luneng its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Merkies 15' for Shandong Luneng, Guilherme Madruga 23' for Shandong Luneng, Felipe Silva 38' for Chengdu Better City, Cryzan 63' for Shandong Luneng, Wellington Silva 79' for Chengdu Better City.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Shandong Luneng a 66.0% chance to finish in the top four: 100.0% after a win, 28.2% after a draw, 27.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 100.0%, 34 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.