8 November 2026, 07:30 UTC

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban Super League prediction & result

Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
Referee: Yunkun Ma, China
Full time6 – 1

Final score: SHANGHAI SIPG 6-1 Shenyang Urban.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% SHANGHAI SIPG, 20% draw, 17% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.59, 5.00 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SHANGHAI SIPG at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SHANGHAI SIPG99%Draw1%Shenyang Urban0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. O. Ampemassist: Leonardo
30'
⚽Leonardoassist: P. O. Ampem
44'
⚽Leonardoassist: Wu Lei
45+1'
46'
🔁Li Haoranout: A. Kouame
46'
🔁Tian Deaoout: Yan Dinghao
46'
🔁Li Tixiangout: Tian Yinong
•Wu Lei
51'
58'
T. Wang
⚽Wu Lei (pen)
60'
65'
🔁G. Mbenzaout: Zang Yifeng
⚽Wu Leiassist: P. O. Ampem
66'
🔁O. Melendoout: Zhang Yuan
70'
🔁A. Yangout: Wang Zhenao
70'
72'
⚽Chen Binbinassist: T. Kunimoto
🔁Browning Tyiasout: Zhang Linpeng
75'
🔁Li Shuaiout: Wang Shenchao
75'
🔁Wu Leiout: X. Li
78'
85'
T. Kunimoto
85'
🔁D. Mawlanniyazout: Gao Jiarun
86'
Jeffinho
⚽P. O. Ampemassist: Leonardo
87'

Match stats — SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban

62%Possession38%
16Shots15
8On target4
5Corners3

Line-ups

SHANGHAI SIPG 3-4-3
  • 1Yan JunlingG
  • 13Zhen WeiD
  • 3Guangtai JiangD
  • 40Yusup UmidjanD
  • 22Xi YangM
  • 21Óscar MelendoM
  • 10Mateus VitalM
  • 32Shuai LiM
  • 7Wu LeiF
  • 45LeonardoF
  • 17Prince AmpemF
Substitutes
  • 19Wang ZhenaoD
  • 6Yuan ZhangD
  • 4Wang ShenchaoD
  • 5Zhang LinpengD
  • 49Xinxiang LiF
  • 12Chen WeiG
  • 23Fu HuanD
  • 31Shimeng BaoD
  • 20Yang ShiyuanD
Shenyang Urban 3-4-3
  • 16Wang Tian'aiG
  • 34Zhang HongfuD
  • 3Ximing PanD
  • 35Li HaoranD
  • 5Dilmurat MawlanyazM
  • 18Tixiang LiM
  • 36De'ao TianM
  • 11Binbin ChenM
  • 10Takahiro KunimotoF
  • 9Guy MbenzaF
  • 47JeffinhoF
Substitutes
  • 7Ange KouaméF
  • 8Dinghao YanM
  • 33Yinong TianM
  • 14Zang YifengF
  • 27Jiarun GaoD
  • 13Jintian XieG
  • 19Mingyu WuD
  • 30Pang ShenghanD
  • 22Liu GuoboF

Form going into SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban

SHANGHAI SIPG

Super League

  • W3-1away to Tianjin Teda24 October 2026
  • W3-0Chengdu Better City18 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Hangzhou Greentown9 October 2026
  • D0-0Beijing Guoan5 September 2026

Shenyang Urban

Super League

  • L2-4Hangzhou Greentown24 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Qingdao Jonoon17 October 2026
  • D1-1Wuhan Three Towns11 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Tianjin Teda12 September 2026

What these results say

  • SHANGHAI SIPG went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • SHANGHAI SIPG won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • SHANGHAI SIPG scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Shenyang Urban failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Shenyang Urban scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Shenyang Urban conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5SHANGHAI SIPG3014885637+1945
13Shenyang Urban3085174258-1629

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang Urban

  • 29 May 2026Shenyang Urban 3–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League

Leading scorers: SHANGHAI SIPG and Shenyang Urban

SHANGHAI SIPG

GoalsAssists

  • Leonardo145

Shenyang Urban

GoalsAssists

  • Jeffinho122
  • G. Mbenza111

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Shenyang Urban 6–1. The model had made a win for SHANGHAI SIPG its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. O. Ampem 30' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo 44' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo 45+1' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Wu Lei (penalty) 60' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Wu Lei 66' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Chen Binbin 72' for Shenyang Urban, P. O. Ampem 87' for SHANGHAI SIPG.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SHANGHAI SIPG a 34.0% chance to finish in the top four: 47.0% after a win, 0.0% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.0%, 13 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.