Regular Season - 11 · 28 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ligat Ha'al prediction

Our model says: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona

The model makes it 28% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 27% draw, 45% Ironi Kiryat Shmona — fair odds of 3.57, 3.70 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.18, Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.63.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Edge to Ironi Kiryat Shmona: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Hapoel Ramat Gan's rating is built from 10 Israeli Ligat Ha'al matches and Ironi Kiryat Shmona's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 549 matches.

Key facts

  • Hapoel Ramat Gan are 13th on 6 points from 10 games; Ironi Kiryat Shmona are 11th on 7 points from 10 games — Ligat Ha'al.
  • Hapoel Ramat Gan are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Hapoel Petah Tikva.
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Hapoel Haifa.
  • Last 3 meetings: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 26 December 2025, ended Hapoel Ramat Gan 2–3 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.

More Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

56%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Hapoel Ramat Gan win Draw Ironi Kiryat Shmona win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 1–29%
  3. 0–19%
  4. 0–28%
  5. 2–17%
  6. 0–07%
  7. 1–07%

Scores read Hapoel Ramat Gan first; the other scorelines share the remaining 42%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Ligat Ha'al

  • L1-2away to Hapoel Petah Tikva7 November 2026
  • L0-5Maccabi Tel Aviv2 November 2026
  • L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Hapoel Haifa17 October 2026
  • L0-4Beitar Jerusalem11 October 2026

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-0Hapoel Haifa7 November 2026
  • D1-1away to Beitar Jerusalem31 October 2026
  • L0-1Bnei Sakhnin24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Maccabi Netanya17 October 2026
  • L1-3Hapoel Tel Aviv10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Ramat Gan had three goals or more.
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Hapoel Ramat Gan10208822-146
11Ironi Kiryat Shmona10217917-87

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 79% today

Win 67%
Draw 80%
Defeat 85%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 29% today

Win 21%
Draw 30%
Defeat 40%

From our Ligat Ha'al season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • 26 December 2025Hapoel Ramat Gan 2–3 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaState Cup
  • 15 March 2024Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLiga Leumit
  • 8 December 2023Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2–0 Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit

Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Ramat Gan

GoalsAssists

  • Luan Campos31

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Hapoel Ramat Gan Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.44 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.55
2.04 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.71
1.18 Model expected goals (this match) 1.63

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Ironi Kiryat Shmona the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan against 1.63 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Hapoel Ramat Gan's attack/defence rating is 0.44/2.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.71 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona.

How the model reaches 45% for Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win. Then home advantage takes away 2 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Hapoel Ramat Gan's ratings add 5 points and Ironi Kiryat Shmona's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 45%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground37%
  2. Home advantage35%−2
  3. Both sides at this match's level34%−1
  4. Hapoel Ramat Gan's ratings39%+5
  5. Ironi Kiryat Shmona's ratings45%+6

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Hapoel Ramat GanIroni Kiryat Shmona
10Matches10
2W 0D 8LRecord2W 1D 7L
8 0.8 per gameGoals scored9 0.9 per game
22 2.2 per gameGoals conceded17 1.7 per game
2 of 10Clean sheets2 of 10
4 of 10Failed to score4 of 10
–Penalties scored2 of 2
24 2.4 per gameYellow cards26 2.6 per game
0Red cards2
4-2-3-1 3×Usual shape4-2-3-1 8×

Hapoel Ramat Gan at home · Ironi Kiryat Shmona away

5Played5
1W 0D 4LRecord0W 1D 4L
4–13Goals for – against4–9
1 of 5Clean sheets0 of 5

League matches only, Ligat Ha'al, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Ligat Ha'al matches this season: Hapoel Ramat Gan 10, Ironi Kiryat Shmona 10.

Hapoel Ramat Gan scored 021322
Ironi Kiryat Shmona conceded 223541

Hapoel Ramat Gan score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Ironi Kiryat Shmona have let in 5 there.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona scored 101122
Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded 315353

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Hapoel Ramat Gan

  • at Ironi Tiberias1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 23%
  • vs Hapoel Jerusalem5 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 31%
  • vs Maccabi Haifa12 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 19%
  • at Hapoel Beer Sheva19 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 11%
  • vs Hapoel Tel Aviv29 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 13%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • vs Maccabi Tel Aviv1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 16%
  • at Hapoel Petah Tikva5 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 39%
  • vs Maccabi Petah Tikva12 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 42%
  • at Ironi Tiberias19 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 32%
  • vs Hapoel Jerusalem29 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 41%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.