Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 36% draw, 27% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 2.70, 2.78 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hapoel Tel Aviv at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Line-ups
- 22A. TzurG
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 98FalcaoM
- 6A. KraevM
- 11S. TurielM
- 35D. OwusuM
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 9E. BoatengF
- 1D. BenyaminiG
- 21S. PivenD
- 18T. ArchelD
- 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
- 8Y. FerberM
- 23A. LemkinM
- 7R. KorineF
- 27M. BuskilaF
- 44D. DappaF
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 4B. CarabaliD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 11T. MuzieD
- 8Z. Ben ShimolM
- 77O. AtziliM
- 40Boris EnowM
- 26D. Worko
- 13E. AnsahM
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 25L. DeriD
- 91N. ShedoF
- 30T. YosefiM
- 15N. MucheM
- 10A. YonaM
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 18R. Abergil
- 21Y. Shicot
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Hapoel Haifa30 August 2026
- L0-1Atalanta27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atalanta20 August 2026
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice12 August 2026
- W2-0GKS Katowice6 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
- L1-2Austria Vienna6 August 2026
- L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
- W1-0away to AEK Larnaca23 July 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Tel Aviv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Tel Aviv had two goals or fewer.
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 25 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- R. Alkokin32
- E. Boateng32
- D. Dappa31
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili33
- E. Ansah31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Beitar Jerusalem 3–0. The model had made a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Alkoukin 17' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, D. Owusu 73' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, D. Dappa 82' for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Sent off: Luka Gadrani (Beitar Jerusalem) 48'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.