Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Hibernian 1-3 Heart of Midlothian.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hibernian, 29% draw, 29% Heart of Midlothian — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hibernian at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian
Line-ups
- 1R. SallingerG
- 6J. KerrD
- 4G. HanleyD
- 21J. ObitaD
- 25F. PasslackM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 10M. BoyleM
- 23C. WrightM
- 9N. LoweF
- 47A. AbdulaiM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 3A. MayorF
- 27K. MegwaD
- 11J. NewellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 1B. ReusG
- 23J. AltenaD
- 6O. McEnteeD
- 17S. FindlayD
- 5J. McCartD
- 7C. MillerM
- 78L. MendyM
- 16B. SpittalM
- 15J. McPakeM
- 21J. WilsonF
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 18H. MilneD
- 74R. MatoF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 11P. KaboreF
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 30R. FultonG
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Form going into Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian
Hibernian
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Dundee30 August 2026
- L2-3Gent27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gent20 August 2026
- D0-0away to Shkendija13 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rangers9 August 2026
Heart of Midlothian
All competitions we cover
- W2-1St Johnstone29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Rapid Vienna26 August 2026
- D2-2Rapid Vienna20 August 2026
- D1-1Benfica13 August 2026
- W4-0Dundee United9 August 2026
What these results say
- Heart of Midlothian went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Heart of Midlothian scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Heart of Midlothian conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian
- 26 April 2026Hibernian 1–2 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
- 10 February 2026Heart of Midlothian 1–0 HibernianPremiership
- 27 December 2025Hibernian 3–2 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
- 4 October 2025Heart of Midlothian 1–0 HibernianPremiership
- 2 March 2025Hibernian 2–1 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
Leading scorers: Hibernian and Heart of Midlothian
Hibernian
GoalsAssists
- C. Wright31
Heart of Midlothian
GoalsAssists
- Cláudio Braga62
- C. Miller51
- J. McPake36
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Heart of Midlothian won 3–1 at Hibernian. The model had leaned towards a win for Hibernian at 42% and given a win for Heart of Midlothian 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: James wilson 13' for Heart of Midlothian, Laurent mendy 43' for Heart of Midlothian, A. Major 51' for Hibernian, Josh Mcpake 66' for Heart of Midlothian.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.