FC Lugano vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Lugano 1-0 Servette FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Lugano, 28% draw, 30% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Lugano at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Lugano vs Servette FC
Line-ups
- 16D. von BallmoosG
- 6A. PapadopoulosD
- 4D. KelvinD
- 3H. DelcroixD
- 25U. BislimiM
- 2B. KarimovM
- 14A. KendouciM
- 27Daniel Dos SantosM
- 21Y. CimignaniM
- 11R. SteffenF
- 30D. MoncadaF
- 46M. ZanottiD
- 24E. PihlströmF
- 17L. MaiD
- 8A. GrgićM
- 28F. GebhardtG
- 22B. CastroF
- 18J. BichselD
- 23G. AjdinM
- 9A. AjetiF
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 4S. RouillerD
- 15M. BurchD
- 18B. MazikouD
- 8T. CognatM
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 77T. OuattaraM
- 9M. StevanovićM
- 14L. NjohM
- 90S. MrázF
- 20Jarell Njike SimoM
- 34T. AllixD
- 37Sylvain Claude Djoho FilhoD
- 28D. DoulineM
- 27David Datro FofanaF
- 36Thomas LopesM
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 7K. MutandwaF
- 44Louis RiederG
Form going into FC Lugano vs Servette FC
FC Lugano
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to FC Sion30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Maccabi Tel Aviv27 August 2026
- W2-1Maccabi Tel Aviv20 August 2026
- D2-2away to NSI Runavik13 August 2026
- W5-0FC Zurich9 August 2026
Servette FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Luzern29 August 2026
- W2-1Grasshoppers8 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Zurich1 August 2026
- L0-1FC Basel 189325 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Lugano went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Lugano scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Lugano conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Servette FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Servette FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Servette FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 6 | Servette FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Lugano vs Servette FC
- 11 February 2026FC Lugano 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 14 December 2025FC Lugano 4–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 26 October 2025Servette FC 2–1 FC LuganoSuper League
- 15 May 2025Servette FC 4–1 FC LuganoSuper League
- 29 March 2025FC Lugano 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Lugano and Servette FC
FC Lugano
GoalsAssists
- Daniel Dos Santos51
- D. Moncada51
- Y. Cimignani40
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Lugano beat Servette FC 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Lugano its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Albian Ajeti 90+4' for FC Lugano.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.