2 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Helmond Sport vs Heracles Eerste Divisie prediction & result

Lavans Stadion, Helmond
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Helmond Sport 2-2 Heracles.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Helmond Sport, 30% draw, 37% Heracles — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Heracles at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Helmond Sport3%Draw93%Heracles4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Maurice Wruschassist: Djevencio van der Kust
8'
David Vicente
8'
Fabian De Keijzer
⚽Tarik Essakkatiassist: Xander van der Velde
13'
13'
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
Pol Llonch
26'
Tarik Essakkati
29'
🔁Pol Llonchout: alen dizdarevic
36'
44'
⚽Manny Rodriguez Baldera
45'
🔁Chafik Abbasout: Mimeirhel Benita
⚽Sem Dekkersassist: Xander van der Velde
54'
🔁Joep van der Sluijsout: Mauro Lenaerts
58'
66'
🔁Tristan Van Gilstout: Stijn Bultman
66'
🔁Max Hauswirthout: David Tomic
Tarik Essakkati
71'
🔁Thomas Pollout: Flor Van Den Eynden
79'
🔁Livio Ciceroout: Kiton Ekoli
79'
Mauro Lenaerts
80'
Xander van der Velde
82'
82'
Stijn Bultman
87'
Mimeirhel Benita
88'
🔁Mimeirhel Benitaout: Mario Engels

Match stats — Helmond Sport vs Heracles

33%Possession67%
13Shots30
6On target14
2Corners12

Line-ups

Helmond Sport 4-4-2
  • 1M. BergsenG
  • 20S. DekkersD
  • 4B. KoglinD
  • 43T. LandheerD
  • 5T. PollD
  • 7J. van der SluijsM
  • 6M. LudwigM
  • 44Xander van der VeldeM
  • 8Pol LlonchM
  • 11L. CiceroF
  • 34T. EssakkatiF
Substitutes
  • 14Brian van den BoogaardD
  • 23A. El MaachG
  • 30K. EkoliF
  • 22A. DizdarevićM
  • 10D. HuibertsM
  • 94Mauro LenaertsF
  • 3F. Van Den EyndenD
  • 2R. van BreeD
  • 21Ward van SleeuwenG
Coach: Frédéric Frans
Heracles 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. de KeijzerG
  • 15David VicenteD
  • 4D. MiraniD
  • 14M. WruschD
  • 25MannyD
  • 5D. van der KustM
  • 32S. SchepermanM
  • 7C. AbbasM
  • 17T. van GilstM
  • 18M. HauswirthM
  • 27J. N'djoliF
Substitutes
  • 3Mario BoracD
  • 10T. BrunsM
  • 35S. BultmanD
  • 8M. EngelsM
  • 16T. JansinkG
  • 26D. van KaamM
  • 23M. te WierikD
  • 33L. ZeevalkinkG
  • 6D. TomićM
Coach: V. Heilmann

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Helmond Sport153392637-1112
1Heracles1512214616+3038

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Helmond Sport vs Heracles

  • 5 August 2023Heracles 2–0 Helmond SportFriendlies Clubs
  • 21 April 2023Helmond Sport 0–1 HeraclesEerste Divisie
  • 23 September 2022Heracles 2–0 Helmond SportEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: Helmond Sport and Heracles

Helmond Sport

No player in Eerste Divisie's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.

Heracles

GoalsAssists

  • J. N'djoli143
  • T. van Gilst112

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.