3 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht Eerste Divisie prediction & result

Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Den Bosch 1-1 Dordrecht.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Den Bosch, 28% draw, 27% Dordrecht — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Den Bosch at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Den Bosch5%Draw92%Dordrecht3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Wang Bohaoout: Sheddy Barglan
52'
53'
Senne Vugts
55'
⚽Senne Vugtsassist: ayoub ouarghi
62'
Dario Sits
62'
🔁Dario Sitsout: joey bie de
62'
🔁Senne Vugtsout: Siginhio Gerardo-Felicia
🔁Jeffry Fortesout: Emian-Johar Semedo
71'
🔁Silvan Brökerout: Lorenzo Hoffman
71'
🔁Jack de Vriesout: Jari Kruijff De
71'
77'
🔁nicolas rossiout: Lucas Gardenier
81'
Beni Christophe Mpanzu
⚽Kevin Monzialo (pen)
82'
90'
🔁ayoub ouarghiout: Adil Lechkar

Match stats — Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

54%Possession46%
14Shots11
5On target1
6Corners3

Line-ups

Den Bosch 4-3-3
  • 1P. van de MerbelG
  • 22Jeffry FortesD
  • 25Silvan BrokerD
  • 3S. MaasD
  • 33M. LarosD
  • 18H. EikelboomM
  • 10Devon DecorteM
  • 16Wang BohaoM
  • 11J. De VriesF
  • 9S. Karlsson GrachF
  • 8K. MonzialoF
Substitutes
  • 66R. van BalsfoortG
  • 27L. HoffmanF
  • 2S. BarglanD
  • 55G. HesselsM
  • 21F. MurreG
  • 17E. SemedoF
  • 7G. SilleF
  • 56Jari De KruijffM
  • 41K. de RooijD
Coach: Bart Schreuder
Dordrecht 4-2-3-1
  • 28T. CoremansG
  • 22J. van AkenD
  • 4J. PinasD
  • 3S. HenderikxD
  • 5C. MpanzuD
  • 8Senne VugtsM
  • 6L. RiccioM
  • 11N. RossiM
  • 21M. VetkalM
  • 10A. OuarghiM
  • 77D. ŠitsF
Substitutes
  • 44B. HardleyD
  • 15Y. M'BembaD
  • 29Siginho GerardoF
  • 2A. LechkarD
  • 13Dean HogervorstG
  • 51Lucas GardenierD
  • 1Finn OldenstamG
  • 16L. RománF
  • 23L. WoudenbergD
Coach: Paul Nuijten

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Den Bosch155462426-219
19Dordrecht153391936-1712

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

  • 23 January 2026Dordrecht 3–2 Den BoschEerste Divisie
  • 12 September 2025Den Bosch 3–3 DordrechtEerste Divisie
  • 12 April 2025Dordrecht 4–0 Den BoschEerste Divisie
  • 1 December 2024Den Bosch 2–3 DordrechtEerste Divisie
  • 29 March 2024Den Bosch 0–3 DordrechtEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: Den Bosch and Dordrecht

Den Bosch

GoalsAssists

  • S. Karlsson Grach60

Dordrecht

No player in Eerste Divisie's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Den Bosch and Dordrecht drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Den Bosch at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Senne Vugts 55' for Dordrecht, Kevin Monzialo (penalty) 82' for Den Bosch.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.