13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time4 – 0

Final score: HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% HNK Hajduk Split, 15% draw, 15% FK Zalgiris Vilnius — fair odds of 1.43, 6.67 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts HNK Hajduk Split at 70% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

HNK Hajduk Split

  • D2-2Istra 19619 August 2026
  • W5-2away to FK Zalgiris Vilnius6 August 2026
  • L1-2away to NK Varazdin2 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Pafos30 July 2026
  • W2-0Pafos23 July 2026

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

  • L2-5HNK Hajduk Split6 August 2026
  • W7-2Dinamo Tbilisi30 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Dinamo Tbilisi23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

  • 6 August 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius

HNK Hajduk Split

  • M. Šego4 goals
  • M. Livaja3 goals
  • M. Šotiček2 goals1 assists

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.