Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Incheon United 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Incheon United, 29% draw, 32% Bucheon FC 1995 — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Incheon United at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-soonD
- 28Kim Yeon-Soo
- 2IbizaD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 10Lee Dong-RyulM
- 15Seo Jae-MinM
- 5Lee Myoung-JooM
- 70Leandro RibeiroM
- 9S. MugosaF
- 99M. FerrierF
- 21Lee Tae-HuiG
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 6Mun Ji-HwanM
- 13Choi Seung-guD
- 11GersoF
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 26Lee Min-HyukM
- 30Kim Young-whanM
- 72Lee Chung-YongM
- 1H. KimG
- 4S. Ye-Geon
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 6Jeong Ho-JinD
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 20Hong Sung-WookM
- 23K. TakahashiM
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11GalegoF
- 31Lee Sang-hyeonG
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 83Jo Seong-JunF
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 24Kim Dong-HyunM
- 25Yeo Bong-HunM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 18Lee Eui-HyeongF
Form going into Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995
Incheon United
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Seoul5 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC23 August 2026
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC16 August 2026
Bucheon FC 1995
All competitions we cover
- L0-5Daejeon Citizen5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul25 August 2026
- L0-3away to Pohang Steelers22 August 2026
- W3-2Jeonbuk Motors16 August 2026
What these results say
- Incheon United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Incheon United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Incheon United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 49 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Incheon United beat Bucheon FC 1995 2–1. The model had made a win for Incheon United its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Galego 33' for Bucheon FC 1995, S. Mugosa 43' for Incheon United, Ibiza 70' for Incheon United.
How the call on Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995 has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Bucheon FC 1995's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Incheon United win39%▲ +2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Bucheon FC 1995 win32%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.