Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 30% draw, 37% FC Seoul — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul
Line-ups
- 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
- 4Seo Myung-GuanD
- 15Jung Seung-HyunD
- 19Kim Young-GwonD
- 33Jang Si-YoungM
- 24Lee Gyu-SeongM
- 55T. Oude KotteM
- 26Cho Hyun-TaekM
- 14Lee Jin-HyunF
- 10Lee Dong-GyeongF
- 11Erick FariasF
- 6D. BojanicM
- 8H. LeeM
- 13Ryu Seong-MinG
- 16Park Woo-jinM
- 17Kang Sang-WooD
- 27PedrinhoF
- 66M. TrojakD
- 72Baek In-WooM
- 77Sim Sang-MinD
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 21Jung Ha-wonM
- 24M. KimM
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul
Ulsan Hyundai FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC5 September 2026
- W3-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Jeonbuk Motors22 August 2026
- L2-3Gangwon FC16 August 2026
FC Seoul
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
- W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
- W7-0away to FC Anyang22 August 2026
- W4-2Daejeon Citizen15 August 2026
What these results say
- Ulsan Hyundai FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul won every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 57 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul
Ulsan Hyundai FC
GoalsAssists
- Yago Cariello131
- Lee Dong-Gyeong1010
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ulsan Hyundai FC beat FC Seoul 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 37% and given a win for Ulsan Hyundai FC 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Sim Sang-Min 83' for Ulsan Hyundai FC.
How the call on Ulsan Hyundai FC v FC Seoul has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 26% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 33% / 30% / 37%: the biggest move is the draw, up 4 points.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC win33%▼ −3
- Draw30%▲ +4
- FC Seoul win37%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.