Gwangju FC vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 0-1 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gwangju FC, 27% draw, 36% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gwangju FC at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gwangju FC vs Jeju United FC
Gwangju FC
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC6 September 2026
- L2-5FC Seoul30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
Jeju United FC
- D0-0Ulsan Hyundai FC5 September 2026
- W3-1Daejeon Citizen30 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and Jeju United FC
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Jeju United FC
- Matheus Aiás3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.