Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Gangwon FC, 30% draw, 30% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24H. ParkD
- 4Seo Min-WooD
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 51Cho Min-KyuG
- 23M. TuciD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 57Lee Yong-JaeM
- 26W. ChoF
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 77A. HleihelF
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 16J. GamboaM
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 11Kim Seung-SubM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 95ItaloM
- 9Tiago OroboF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 15Kim Ha-junD
- 24Lee Sang-myungD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 30DodoM
- 70H. ParkM
- 99Bruno MotaF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Incheon United30 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 August 2026
- W1-0Ulsan Hyundai FC22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Bucheon FC 199516 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gangwon FC had three goals or more.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Jeonbuk Motors had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Motors
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Motors drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Italo 15' for Jeonbuk Motors, A. Hleihel 59' for Gangwon FC.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Jeonbuk Motors has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 32% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Gangwon FC win40%▲ +7
- Draw30%▼ −2
- Jeonbuk Motors win30%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.