Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 2-1 Maghreb Fès.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Ittihad Tanger, 32% draw, 41% Maghreb Fès — fair odds of 3.70, 3.13 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Maghreb Fès at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès
Line-ups
- 12M. BarcolaG
- 22Z. KianiD
- 6B. ElouadghiriD
- 4M. SaoudD
- 15A. LaaziriD
- 10M. El ArouchM
- 8G. MohutsiwaM
- 7Y. NajariM
- 18Soufyan AhannachF
- 17Abdel MaaliM
- 31ibrahim diengF
- 25A. AzmiG
- 67H. BakhlakhM
- 20E. El BellaliM
- 34mohamed guartit elM
- 2R. El MelianiD
- 21H. El MoudeneM
- 24Akram El WahabiD
- 27S. KhorsaD
- 23A. LamrabatD
- 16S. ChihabG
- 20S. GhedamsiD
- 27M. JaouabD
- 15A. KhafifiD
- 21M. OuhrouM
- 8A. HarmachM
- 6Oussama nourdineM
- 7K. BabaF
- 14A. BrikaM
- 18C. IbayiF
- 26D. TitusF
- 22Hamza allah aitD
- 29E. BrijaM
- 5A. ChbaniD
- 17A. El MahraouiF
- 12O. ErrahmanyG
- 30H. AfsalM
- 9Tshegofatso MabasoF
- 28Narcisse ouedraogoF
- 19A. TahiriM
Form going into Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès
Ittihad Tanger
Botola Pro
- L1-2away to Kawkab Marrakech10 October 2026
Maghreb Fès
Botola Pro
- D0-0Raja Casablanca8 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès
- 22 May 2026Maghreb Fès 0–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 25 October 2025Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 8 March 2025Maghreb Fès 1–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 3 November 2024Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 27 March 2024Maghreb Fès 2–2 Ittihad TangerCup
The result against the call
Ittihad Tanger beat Maghreb Fès 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Maghreb Fès at 41% and given a win for Ittihad Tanger 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Christopher Ibayi 32' for Maghreb Fès, mohamed saoud 74' for Ittihad Tanger, Hamza El Moudene 77' for Ittihad Tanger.
How the call on Ittihad Tanger v Maghreb Fès has moved
First published on 5 Oct at 30% / 32% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 27% / 32% / 41%: the biggest move is Ittihad Tanger's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Ittihad Tanger win27%▼ −3
- Draw32%=
- Maghreb Fès win41%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.