Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Kashiwa Reysol 5-1 Port FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Kashiwa Reysol, 16% draw, 11% Port FC — fair odds of 1.37, 6.25 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Kashiwa Reysol at 73%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29K. NagaiG
- 42W. HaradaD
- 4T. KogaD
- 2H. MitsumaruD
- 24T. KuboM
- 39N. NakagawaM
- 40R. HarakawaM
- 44K. YubaM
- 87H. YamauchiF
- 16K. YurukiF
- 18Y. KakitaF
- 63Y. Kaneko
- 13T. InukaiD
- 26D. SugiokaD
- 32Y. YamanouchiD
- 21Y. KonishiM
- 8Y. KoizumiM
- 43Y. KamoM
- 33S. Iwanaga
- 23K. ChonanM
- 93M. FalkesgaardG
- 4S. BureeratD
- 28E. SviatchenkoD
- 15M. BihrD
- 25C. OttonD
- 19R. CostaM
- 33N. ShimuraM
- 5P. ChamratsameeM
- 11BrunoM
- 14T. PoeiphimaiF
- 7I. Al SabhiF
- 1S. YosG
- 40R. KemmueangG
- 20Marcel ScaleseD
- 36P. AkkratumD
- 24J. KaewpromM
- 22W. KanitsribampenM
- 47S. BoonlhaM
- 17S. RatreeM
- 9Ruan RibeiroF
Form going into Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC
Kashiwa Reysol
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-2away to Jeonbuk Motors16 September 2026
Port FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-2Vissel Kobe16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 | Port FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Kashiwa Reysol and Port FC
Kashiwa Reysol
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Port FC
GoalsAssists
- B. Phala32
- Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kashiwa Reysol beat Port FC 5–1. The model had made a win for Kashiwa Reysol its most likely outcome, at 73%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Tojiro Kubo 3' for Kashiwa Reysol, Yuki Kakita 10' for Kashiwa Reysol, Riki Harakawa (penalty) 15' for Kashiwa Reysol, Koya Yuruki 26' for Kashiwa Reysol, Hinata Yamauchi 28' for Kashiwa Reysol, Manuel Bihr 64' for Port FC. On expected goals it finished 2.96–0.68.
How the call on Kashiwa Reysol v Port FC has moved
First published on 30 Sep at 65% / 21% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 73% / 16% / 11%: the biggest move is Kashiwa Reysol's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Kashiwa Reysol win73%▲ +8
- Draw16%▼ −5
- Port FC win11%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.