13 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Kalamata vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result

Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Kalamata 3-1 Volos NFC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kalamata, 29% draw, 32% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kalamata at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kalamata96%Draw4%Volos NFC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
⚽Matías Nahuel Gonzálezassist: Jorge Samuel Figueiredo Fernandes
34'
Vasileios Grosdis
37'
Matías Nahuel González
49'
🔁Hatim Es-Saoubiout: Derek Agyakwa
Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro
56'
⚽Erik Hamzaassist: Ahmad Mendes Moreira
59'
60'
🔁Vasileios Grosdisout: Dženis Burnić
60'
🔁Gustavo Furtadoout: Francesc Regis
🔁Julián Bonettoout: Argyrios Liatsikouras
65'
Julio Alonso
69'
76'
Hamza Mendyl
77'
🔁Hamza Mendylout: Giorgos Migas
77'
🔁Matías Nahuel Gonzálezout: Giorgos Charalampoglou
🔁Arnór Sigurðssonout: Djibril Diarra
78'
79'
Giorgos Migas
⚽Jovanny Bolivarassist: Ahmad Mendes Moreira
84'
•Jovanny Bolivar
84'
🔁Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiroout: M. Bakayoko
90'
🔁Jovanny Bolivarout: Ilias Chatzitheodoridis
90'
⚽Erik Hamzaassist: Djibril Diarra
90+3'

Match stats — Kalamata vs Volos NFC

46%Possession54%
15Shots11
6On target5
6Corners3

Line-ups

Kalamata 4-2-3-1
  • 1I. GeliosG
  • 22P. KaloutsikidisD
  • 4S. StroungisD
  • 97RodriguesD
  • 17Julio AlonsoD
  • 24E. HamzaM
  • 23G. PiñeiroM
  • 32J. BonettoM
  • 10A. SigurðssonM
  • 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
  • 9J. BolívarF
Substitutes
  • 18P. PanagiotouD
  • 40N. VasiljevićG
  • 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
  • 19M. J. BakayokoD
  • 99S. AngelisF
  • 6D. DiarraM
  • 26P. GinisG
  • 44A. GuessandD
  • 29U. IgnjatovićD
Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas
Volos NFC 4-2-3-1
  • 55A. KoşelevG
  • 37H. MendylD
  • 15H. EssaoubiD
  • 4G. KargasD
  • 24K. LykourinosD
  • 8M. CombaM
  • 17V. GrosdisM
  • 10JocaM
  • 21M. GonzálezM
  • 7L. LamprouM
  • 11Gustavo FurtadoF
Substitutes
  • 99D. AgyakwaD
  • 72E. TasiourasD
  • 20Xesc RegisF
  • 89F. RefatllariM
  • 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
  • 22G. MigasM
  • 91Y. NeyouM
  • 49G. CharalampoglouF
  • 27D. BurnićM
Coach: K. Bratsos

Form going into Kalamata vs Volos NFC

Kalamata

  • D1-1away to Atromitos6 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Panetolikos29 August 2026
  • L2-3Aris Thessalonikis22 August 2026

Volos NFC

  • D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
  • D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
  • L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Kalamata411267-14
11Volos NFC402237-42

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kalamata vs Volos NFC

  • 13 September 2026Kalamata 3–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 1 September 2026Volos NFC 2–2 KalamataCup
  • 10 August 2026Volos NFC 0–2 KalamataFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Kalamata and Volos NFC

Kalamata

  • E. Hamza2 goals
  • J. Bolívar2 goals

Volos NFC

  • M. González2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.