Kalamata vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Kalamata 3-1 Volos NFC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kalamata, 29% draw, 32% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Kalamata at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kalamata vs Volos NFC
Line-ups
- 1I. GeliosG
- 22P. KaloutsikidisD
- 4S. StroungisD
- 97RodriguesD
- 17Julio AlonsoD
- 24E. HamzaM
- 23G. PiñeiroM
- 32J. BonettoM
- 10A. SigurðssonM
- 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
- 9J. BolívarF
- 18P. PanagiotouD
- 40N. VasiljevićG
- 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
- 19M. J. BakayokoD
- 99S. AngelisF
- 6D. DiarraM
- 26P. GinisG
- 44A. GuessandD
- 29U. IgnjatovićD
- 55A. KoşelevG
- 37H. MendylD
- 15H. EssaoubiD
- 4G. KargasD
- 24K. LykourinosD
- 8M. CombaM
- 17V. GrosdisM
- 10JocaM
- 21M. GonzálezM
- 7L. LamprouM
- 11Gustavo FurtadoF
- 99D. AgyakwaD
- 72E. TasiourasD
- 20Xesc RegisF
- 89F. RefatllariM
- 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
- 22G. MigasM
- 91Y. NeyouM
- 49G. CharalampoglouF
- 27D. BurnićM
Form going into Kalamata vs Volos NFC
Kalamata
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atromitos6 September 2026
- L0-2away to Panetolikos29 August 2026
- L2-3Aris Thessalonikis22 August 2026
Volos NFC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
- D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
- L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kalamata vs Volos NFC
- 1 September 2026Volos NFC 2–2 KalamataCup
- 10 August 2026Volos NFC 0–2 KalamataFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Kalamata and Volos NFC
Kalamata
GoalsAssists
- D. Kurminowski50
- J. Bolívar30
Volos NFC
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kalamata beat Volos NFC 3–1. The model had made a win for Kalamata its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Matías Nahuel González 26' for Volos NFC, Erik Hamza 59' for Kalamata, Jovanny Bolivar 84' for Kalamata, Erik Hamza 90+3' for Kalamata.
How the call on Kalamata v Volos NFC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 26% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Kalamata's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Kalamata win39%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +3
- Volos NFC win32%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.