Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Panathinaikos, 27% draw, 29% Panetolikos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Panathinaikos at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 26I. LouzaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 9C. DessersF
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 28F. PellistriM
- 74E. RastoderF
- 7A. TettehF
- 19T. TsaprasM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 99Y. KucherenkoG
- 35C. MavriasD
- 2G. GranathD
- 49N. StajićD
- 65A. ApostolopoulosD
- 18G. SatsiasM
- 14K. AleksićM
- 44N. ErakovićM
- 10A. BassiM
- 12M. DjenepoM
- 9José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF
- 28L. KojićM
- 22Diego EstebanM
- 19A. BregouM
- 20Youssouph BadjiF
- 6M. NakambaM
- 77E. NikolaouM
- 4E. OlssonD
- 90K. OpokuF
- 1Michalis PardalosG
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Kifisia10 September 2026
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové27 August 2026
- D2-2Hradec Králové20 August 2026
Panetolikos
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Levadiakos6 September 2026
- W2-0Kalamata29 August 2026
- W3-1Asteras Tripolis23 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 27 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
- 15 March 2026Panathinaikos 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 28 September 2025Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 1 March 2025Panathinaikos 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 24 November 2024Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 7 January 2024Panathinaikos 2–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- A. Tetteh51
- C. Dessers40
- V. Taborda31
Panetolikos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat Panetolikos 3–0. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Vicente Taborda 14' for Panathinaikos, Azzedine Ounahi 39' for Panathinaikos, Davide Calabria 90+2' for Panathinaikos.
How the call on Panathinaikos v Panetolikos has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 44% / 27% / 29%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Panathinaikos win44%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Panetolikos win29%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.