Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Panathinaikos, 27% draw, 29% Panetolikos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Panathinaikos at 44% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 26I. LouzaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 9C. DessersF
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 28F. PellistriM
- 74E. RastoderF
- 7A. TettehF
- 19T. TsaprasM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 99Y. KucherenkoG
- 35C. MavriasD
- 2G. GranathD
- 49N. StajićD
- 65A. ApostolopoulosD
- 18G. SatsiasM
- 14K. AleksićM
- 44N. ErakovićM
- 10A. BassiM
- 12M. DjenepoM
- 9José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF
- 28L. KojićM
- 22Diego EstebanM
- 19A. BregouM
- 20Youssouph BadjiF
- 6M. NakambaM
- 77E. NikolaouM
- 4E. OlssonD
- 90K. OpokuF
- 1Michalis PardalosG
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
- W3-1Kifisia10 September 2026
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
Panetolikos
- W2-0away to Levadiakos6 September 2026
- W2-0Kalamata29 August 2026
- W3-1Asteras Tripolis23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
- 13 September 2026Panathinaikos 3–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 15 March 2026Panathinaikos 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 28 September 2025Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 1 March 2025Panathinaikos 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 24 November 2024Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 7 January 2024Panathinaikos 2–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
- V. Taborda3 goals1 assists
- A. Tetteh2 goals
- K. Kangwa1 goals1 assists
Panetolikos
- G. Granath2 goals
- K. Opoku2 goals
- K. Aleksić1 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.