18 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Kasımpaşa 0-0 Konyaspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Kasımpaşa, 29% draw, 24% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kasımpaşa at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kasımpaşa5%Draw93%Konyaspor2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Ilie
24'
C. Winck
30'
E. Belozoglu
33'
40'
A. Demirbag
53'
M. Jevtovic
58'
R. Baniya
58'
🔁M. Jevtovicout: E. Bardhi
🔁M. Raffertyout: H. Hajradinovic
61'
68'
M. Ibrahimoglu
🔁J. Jessenout: A. Karapo
71'
🔁A. Kolout: T. Diarra
71'
74'
🔁D. Goncalvesout: J. Dompe
74'
🔁J. Mulekaout: Mostafa Mohamed
A. Karapo
85'
🔁A. Benedyczakout: A. Arous
88'
89'
🔁D. Turucout: E. Colley

Match stats — Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

47%Possession53%
12Shots11
2On target4
6Corners4
0.5xG1.15

Goals against chances

Kasımpaşa0 from 0.50 xGless than the chances were worth
Konyaspor0 from 1.15 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kasımpaşa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Andreas GianniotisG
  • 2Cláudio WinckD
  • 14Kevin MouangaD
  • 27Matei IlieD
  • 5Jakob JessenD
  • 51Elson MendesM
  • 26Kerem DemirbayM
  • 50Güven YalçınM
  • 19Marcus RaffertyM
  • 7Ali Yavuz KolM
  • 9Adrian BenedyczakF
Substitutes
  • 10Haris HajradinovićM
  • 45Ayberk KarapoD
  • 11Thiemoko DiarraF
  • 25Ali Emre YanarG
  • 30Ahmet Taha DağbaşıD
  • 4Adem ArousD
  • 66Emirhan BozM
  • 8Atakan MujdeM
  • 99Muhammed BektaşF
Coach: Emre Belozoglu
Konyaspor 4-2-3-1
  • 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
  • 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
  • 22Rayyan BaniyaD
  • 4Adil DemirbağD
  • 26Arthur MasuakuD
  • 8Marko JevtovićM
  • 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
  • 9Deniz TürüçM
  • 66Rajmund TóthM
  • 7Diogo GonçalvesM
  • 11Jackson MulekaF
Substitutes
  • 10Enis BardhiM
  • 42Mostafa MohamedF
  • 91Jean-Luc DompéF
  • 1Deniz ErtaşG
  • 15Chidozie AwaziemD
  • 2Ahmet OğuzD
  • 3Arif BoşlukD
  • 45Emir BarsF
  • 25Omer CobanogluM
Coach: Ilhan Palut

Form going into Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

Kasımpaşa

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.13 September 2026
  • D2-2Amed6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Başakşehir30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Çorum FK22 August 2026
  • D1-1Trabzonspor15 August 2026

Konyaspor

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
  • L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
  • L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
  • L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026

What these results say

  • Kasımpaşa went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Kasımpaşa scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Kasımpaşa conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Konyaspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Kasımpaşa115511711+620
15Konyaspor11227614-88

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

  • 8 March 2026Konyaspor 1–1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • 5 October 2025Kasımpaşa 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 19 January 2025Konyaspor 3–3 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • 10 August 2024Kasımpaşa 2–3 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 13 April 2024Kasımpaşa 0–2 KonyasporSüper Lig

The full Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor record →

Leading scorers: Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor

Kasımpaşa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Benedyczak72

Konyaspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Kasımpaşa at 47% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.50–1.15.

How the call on Kasımpaşa v Konyaspor has moved

First published on 4 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 29% / 24%: the biggest move is Kasımpaşa's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Kasımpaşa win47%▲ +4
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Konyaspor win24%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.