Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Çorum FK 1-2 Alanyaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Çorum FK, 29% draw, 25% Alanyaspor — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Çorum FK at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Marcos FelipeG
- 11Gökhan SazdağıD
- 4Serdar SaatçıD
- 6Hrvoje SmolčićD
- 24Andrei BorzaD
- 20Ylber RamadaniM
- 16FredyM
- 7Cengiz ÜnderM
- 10Mohammed DiomandeM
- 89Alexandros KyziridisM
- 19Jesús RamírezF
- 2Çağlar SöyüncüD
- 30Ahmed IldızM
- 14Youssoufa MoukokoF
- 26Ermin MahmićM
- 17Emircan GürlükF
- 18Erhan ErentürkG
- 5Alexandre PenetraD
- 15Arda ŞengülD
- 21Göktan GürpüzM
- 48Paulo VictorG
- 3Nuno LimaD
- 5Fidan AlitiD
- 20Fatih AksoyD
- 94Florent HadergjonajM
- 42Gaius MakoutaM
- 55Baran Ali GezekM
- 11Ruan Pereira DuarteM
- 22Paolo FernandesF
- 16Hwang Ui-JoF
- 19Iván CédricF
- 12Meschak EliaF
- 7Ibrahim KayaF
- 10Ianis HagiM
- 17Arda UsluoğluF
- 23Mert Furkan BayramG
- 4Bedirhan ÖzyurtD
- 88Yusuf ÖzdemirM
- 26İzzet ÇelikM
- 8Enes KeskinM
Form going into Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor
Çorum FK
All competitions we cover
- W5-1away to Samsunspor12 September 2026
- W3-0Eyüpspor6 September 2026
- L2-6away to Beşiktaş31 August 2026
- L0-1Kasımpaşa22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Galatasaray14 August 2026
Alanyaspor
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Göztepe12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Rizespor7 September 2026
- L1-2away to Eyüpspor30 August 2026
- W1-0Beşiktaş23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gaziantep FK15 August 2026
What these results say
- Çorum FK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Çorum FK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Çorum FK had three goals or more.
- Alanyaspor scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Çorum FK | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Alanyaspor | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor
- 4 December 2025Çorum FK 0–5 AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
Leading scorers: Çorum FK and Alanyaspor
Çorum FK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ramírez61
- A. Kyziridis44
- C. Ünder42
Alanyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Alanyaspor won 2–1 at Çorum FK. The model had leaned towards a win for Çorum FK at 46% and given a win for Alanyaspor 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Makouta 67' for Alanyaspor, J. Ramirez 76' for Çorum FK, A. Usluoglu 79' for Alanyaspor. On expected goals it finished 1.16–1.16.
How the call on Çorum FK v Alanyaspor has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 46% / 29% / 25%: the biggest move is Çorum FK's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Çorum FK win46%▲ +5
- Draw29%=
- Alanyaspor win25%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.