Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Gaziantep FK 0-0 Fenerbahçe.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Gaziantep FK, 29% draw, 38% Fenerbahçe — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Fenerbahçe at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25K. Tobiasz
- 2L. Perez
- 4A. Kizildag
- 14M. Abena
- 23K. Calhanoglu
- 6U. Meleke
- 18D. Sorescu
- 8V. Gidado
- 44A. Maxim
- 10K. Kozlowski
- 28H. Dervisoglu
- 35A. Dadakdeniz
- 21A. Sylla
- 5E. Sarikaya
- 7J. Bacuna
- 3D. Camara
- 61O. Ozcicek
- 17K. Gassama
- 19S. Dursun
- 22S. Hansen
- 31Ederson
- 18M. Muldur
- 37M. Skriniar
- 15N. Ake
- 3A. Brown
- 91N. Kante
- 5I. Yuksek
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 9R. Lukaku
- 7K. Akturkoglu
- 34M. Gunok
- 27N. Semedo
- 14Y. E. Demir
- 21K. Peprah
- 22L. Mercan
- 28B. Elmaz
- 19V. Muriqi
- 17I. Kahveci
- 70O. Aydin
Form going into Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
All competitions we cover
- W4-2away to Göztepe7 September 2026
- L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
- D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026
Fenerbahçe
All competitions we cover
- D1-1AS Roma10 September 2026
- L1-2Beşiktaş5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Samsunspor30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lyon26 August 2026
- W4-2Konyaspor22 August 2026
What these results say
- Gaziantep FK scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Gaziantep FK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Gaziantep FK.
- Fenerbahçe scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Fenerbahçe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Fenerbahçe.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
- 17 March 2026Fenerbahçe 4–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 4 March 2026Gaziantep FK 0–4 FenerbahçeTürkiye Kupası
- 27 October 2025Gaziantep FK 0–4 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 26 April 2025Gaziantep FK 1–3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 27 February 2025Gaziantep FK 1–4 FenerbahçeTürkiye Kupası
Leading scorers: Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Fenerbahçe
GoalsAssists
- V. Muriqi71
- M. Greenwood62
- İ. Kahveci53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Fenerbahçe at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.49–1.34.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.