25 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida Botola Pro prediction & result

Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 1-1 Difaa EL Jadida.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Kawkab Marrakech, 27% draw, 29% Difaa EL Jadida — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kawkab Marrakech at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kawkab Marrakech95%Draw5%Difaa EL Jadida0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Boulkassoum diarra
⚽Hamza Smaali (pen)
19'
21'
ayoub khafi el
38'
🔁Abderrazak Ennakoussout: Anass Mostakime
Jawad rhabra
41'
Mouhcine Rabja
45+2'
Oussama·Mahrous
45+8'
🔁Nabil Khaliout: Abdelkarim Baadi
46'
🔁haimoud abdallahout: Ismail Al Alami
46'
46'
🔁Boulkassoum diarraout: Yassine Lhjale
57'
🔁ayoub khafi elout: achraf idrissi
57'
🔁reda chgraoui echout: zakaria oubraim
🔁ayoub maamouri alout: Oussama hafari
68'
🔁Jawad rhabraout: Youssef Raiani
68'
69'
🔁Youssef Michteout: Abdellah Farah
77'
Anass Mostakime
🔁saleh essallamiout: Mahmoud kayssoumi el
82'
83'
Ibra Lo
Youssef Raiani
88'
90'
⚽Mouad mouchtanim (pen)

Match stats — Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida

39%Possession61%
5Shots10
4On target6
5Corners7

Line-ups

Kawkab Marrakech
  • 67A. El OuaadG
  • 21Hamza RafaM
  • 20Mouhcine RabjaD
  • 5O. MahrousM
  • 77A. MaamouriF
  • 25N. KhaliM
  • 13haimoud abdallahM
  • 19Jawad rhabraF
  • 11S. EssallamiF
  • 14H. SmaaliM
  • 15Abdellah BouallaliD
Substitutes
  • 33A. BaadiD
  • 27M. BattahD
  • 88Mohamed DadsiM
  • 44I. Al AlamiD
  • 16Mahmoud kayssoumi elM
  • 99O. HafariF
  • 22A. M'HamdiG
  • 24Y. RaianiM
  • 8K. TamraniM
Coach: Y. Safri
Difaa EL Jadida
  • 70MegueM
  • 20Boulkassoum diarraD
  • 5reda chgraoui echF
  • 6B. El Idrissi BouzidiM
  • 8ayoub khafi elM
  • 17A. EnnakoussF
  • 77Ibra Lo
  • 88Y. MichteM
  • 10M. MouchtanimM
  • 4A. MoulhamiD
  • 16A. Ait WahmaneG
Substitutes
  • 33Israel UsulorD
  • 24Z. OubraimD
  • 12A. Mostakime
  • 31Yassine LhjaleD
  • 21M. HilaliM
  • 55Abdellah FarahF
  • 15Y. El OuatkiM
  • 61H. AzimiG
  • 99A. IdrissiF
Coach: Ricardo Chéu

Form going into Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida

Kawkab Marrakech

Botola Pro

  • W1-0away to Widad Témara18 October 2026
  • W2-1Ittihad Tanger10 October 2026

Difaa EL Jadida

Botola Pro

  • W4-1Moghreb Tetouan17 October 2026
  • W5-2away to Amal Tiznit10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech7511106+416
11Difaa EL Jadida72231416-28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida

  • 28 June 2026Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
  • 21 February 2026Kawkab Marrakech 0–0 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
  • 21 August 2025Difaa EL Jadida 2–0 Kawkab MarrakechFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 June 2024Difaa EL Jadida 0–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
  • 8 December 2023Kawkab Marrakech 1–0 Difaa EL JadidaBotola 2
  • 2 March 2019Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro

The result against the call

Kawkab Marrakech and Difaa EL Jadida drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Kawkab Marrakech at 44% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Hamza Smaali (penalty) 19' for Kawkab Marrakech, Mouad mouchtanim (penalty) 90' for Difaa EL Jadida. Sent off: Mouhcine Rabja (Kawkab Marrakech) 45+2'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.