Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor 1. Lig prediction & result
Final score: Batman Petrolspor 3-2 Esenler Erokspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Batman Petrolspor, 26% draw, 32% Esenler Erokspor — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Batman Petrolspor at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13B. TetikG
- 27Ö. ArtanD
- 4M. MertD
- 21DóriaD
- 3Y. SubaşıD
- 72P. YaldırM
- 8O. GürbulakM
- 6Jo Jin-HoM
- 7M. BironM
- 79G. AltıparmakF
- 77BennyF
- 17G. KaradenizM
- 18Karan TopdemirF
- 53M. AlbayrakD
- 25Ç. AkbabaG
- 5E. AydoğanM
- 46Devran BozardicD
- 34M. CissokhoM
- 15DavidF
- 11O. ImeriF
- 22E. CanpolatG
- 70F. OrakD
- 21B. ÖztürkD
- 4Luccas ClaroD
- 39E. KaşD
- 53Y. ErdoğanM
- 5M. OkyarM
- 7N. JanvierM
- 11M. FayeM
- 8G. KangaF
- 9K. KanatsızkuşF
- 77H. BilazerD
- 99P. GuèyeF
- 6T. KaçarM
- 10R. NiyazM
- 18B. SamudioF
- 27F. YazganM
- 88A. ZeqiriM
- 34E. ÇetinG
- 17B. ÇobanF
Form going into Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig
- D2-2away to Kayserispor18 October 2026
- W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026
Esenler Erokspor
1. Lig
- W4-2Mardin 196919 October 2026
- D1-1away to Manisa F.K.15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 24 |
| 10 | Esenler Erokspor | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor
- 25 March 2023Esenler Erokspor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor2. Lig
- 9 October 2022Batman Petrolspor 1–1 Esenler Erokspor2. Lig
- 11 February 2021Batman Petrolspor 0–0 Esenler Erokspor3. Lig - Group 3
- 4 October 2020Esenler Erokspor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 3
Leading scorers: Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor
Batman Petrolspor
GoalsAssists
- Pedrinho50
- M. Biron42
Esenler Erokspor
GoalsAssists
- G. Kanga51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Batman Petrolspor beat Esenler Erokspor 3–2. The model had made a win for Batman Petrolspor its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Guélor Kanga 50' for Esenler Erokspor, Yusuf Erdoğan 62' for Esenler Erokspor, Metehan Mert 69' for Batman Petrolspor, Pedrinho (penalty) 85' for Batman Petrolspor, Mickael Biron 90+2' for Batman Petrolspor. On expected goals it finished 2.36–1.63.
How the call on Batman Petrolspor v Esenler Erokspor has moved
First published on 11 Oct at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 26% / 32%: the biggest move is Batman Petrolspor's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Batman Petrolspor win42%▲ +2
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Esenler Erokspor win32%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.