10 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Premier League prediction & result

Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Referee: Denys Reznikov
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Kolos Kovalivka 3-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Kolos Kovalivka, 29% draw, 27% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kolos Kovalivka at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kolos Kovalivka97%Draw3%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Nil Coch
⚽Denys Ndukveassist: Oleksandr Demchenko
25'
33'
⚽Artem Kozakassist: Yevgen Zaporozhets
Arinaldo Rrapaj
43'
45+1'
Serhii Nagornyak
🔁Arinaldo Rrapajout: Luka·Stankovski
60'
🔁Ibrahim Kaneout: Ardit Tahiri
69'
⚽Oleksandr Demchenko (pen)
79'
82'
🔁Andriy Lipovuzout: Mykola Myronyuk
82'
🔁Igor Kyryukhantsevout: Daniel Rueda Bodega
Zurab Rukhadze
85'
Mykyta Burda
88'
88'
🔁Yevgen Zaporozhetsout: Daniil Vashchenko
🔁Zurab Rukhadzeout: Roman Goncharenko
90+1'
⚽Denys Ndukveassist: Mykyta Burda
90+4'

Match stats — Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

53%Possession47%
1Shots1
1On target1
0Corners1

Line-ups

Kolos Kovalivka 4-1-4-1
  • 31I. PakholyukG
  • 2Z. RukhadzeD
  • 3E. KozikD
  • 6M. BurdaD
  • 9A. TsurikovD
  • 45D. KhrypchukM
  • 14I. KaneM
  • 7O. DemchenkoM
  • 99A. RrapajM
  • 17A. SalabayM
  • 30D. NdukweF
Substitutes
  • 1D. MatsapuraG
  • 47Daniil DenysenkoM
  • 51V. MorgunG
  • 33R. GoncharenkoD
  • 44V. ShershenD
  • 10L. StankovskiM
  • 20N. GagnidzeM
  • 90I. KasallaM
  • 21D. SukhonosM
Coach: R. Kostyshyn
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-2-2
  • 71N. FedotovG
  • 25vitalii horinD
  • 13S. RepajD
  • 77Nil CochD
  • 70I. KyryukhantsevD
  • 20V. SydunM
  • 5Y. ZaporozhetsM
  • 99Carlos RojasM
  • 97O. KlymetsM
  • 59A. KozakF
  • 28A. LipovuzF
Substitutes
  • 17Ivan BenderaM
  • 27D. VashchenkoM
  • 31O. BilykG
  • 4V. MorozD
  • 3S. GrygorashchukD
  • 22A. VavshkoG
  • 11A. BoykoD
  • 21NeneF
  • 14Raúl TavaresM
Coach: Sergiy Nagornyak

Form going into Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Kolos Kovalivka

Premier League

  • W3-2away to Kudrivka20 September 2026

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Kolos Kovalivka103341314-112
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi122461116-510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • 7 March 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4–0 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
  • 30 August 2025Kolos Kovalivka 1–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
  • 26 July 2025Kolos Kovalivka 5–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Kolos Kovalivka

GoalsAssists

  • D. Ndukwe40
  • O. Demchenko31

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

GoalsAssists

  • A. Kozak33
  • V. Sydun30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kolos Kovalivka beat Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3–1. The model had made a win for Kolos Kovalivka its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Denys Ndukve 25' for Kolos Kovalivka, Artem Kozak 33' for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, Oleksandr Demchenko (penalty) 79' for Kolos Kovalivka, Denys Ndukve 90+4' for Kolos Kovalivka.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kolos Kovalivka a 22.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 17.6% after a win, 23.9% after a draw, 29.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.6%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.

For Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 20.0% going in: 12.8% after a win, 19.9% after a draw, 23.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.8%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kolos Kovalivka v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Kolos Kovalivka's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Kolos Kovalivka win44%▲ +3
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win27%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.