9 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

KuPS vs Turku PS Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Vare Areena, Kuopio
Full time1 – 1

Final score: KuPS 1-1 Turku PS.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% KuPS, 23% draw, 12% Turku PS — fair odds of 1.54, 4.35 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KuPS at 65% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KuPS98%Draw2%Turku PS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Luyeye-Lutumba
23'
44'
Samuel Anini Jr.
🔁S. Tourayout: T. Jyry
46'
57'
🔁L. Ikonenout: P. Juvanteny
57'
🔁N. Taloout: M. Kauppila
57'
🔁S. Aniniout: M. Konkkola
🔁J. Luyeye-Lutumbaout: J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
59'
🔁A. Heinonenout: V. R. Gasc
59'
🔁N. Kujasaloout: Jorginho
72'
77'
Charlemagne Azongnitode
🔁A. Lotjonenout: B. Magassa
83'
85'
Marius Könkkölä
86'
🔁O. Haggstromout: N. Veinbergs
90+4'
🔁E. Vauhkonenout: A. Sairinen
90'
⚽N. Veinbergsassist: P. Juvanteny

Line-ups

KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 12H. RiihimakiG
  • 6S. SavolainenD
  • 33T. HamalainenD
  • 23A. LotjonenD
  • 3S. HeiskanenM
  • 8P. PennanenM
  • 22S. TourayM
  • 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 13N. KujasaloM
  • 17A. HeinonenM
  • 20P. ParzyszekF
Substitutes
  • 37K. SilenG
  • 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 28B. MagassaD
  • 4K. AdamsD
  • 16T. JyryM
  • 30JorginhoD
  • 25C. AntwiD
  • 10V. R. GascM
Coach: Miika Nuutinen
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. HenrikssonG
  • 2O. HaggstromD
  • 15C. AzongnitodeD
  • 14M. HradeckyD
  • 24N. TaloD
  • 22T. ZaalM
  • 26L. IkonenM
  • 11E. VauhkonenM
  • 29A. MuzaciM
  • 41S. Anini
  • 99K. VisserF
Substitutes
  • 12H. AsulaG
  • 4A. SairinenD
  • 6P. Juvanteny
  • 9L. IvanovicF
  • 17A. SihvonenD
  • 20M. KauppilaD
  • 10M. KonkkolaM
  • 28T. VakipartaM
  • 44N. VeinbergsF
Coach: Ivan Pinol

Form going into KuPS vs Turku PS

KuPS

  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
  • L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

Turku PS

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1KuPS2212733823+1543
8Turku PS228772823+531

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: KuPS vs Turku PS

  • 9 August 2026KuPS 1–1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
  • 17 June 2026Turku PS 1–2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • 4 November 2020Turku PS 3–2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • 29 August 2020KuPS 3–1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
  • 21 October 2018KuPS 2–1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
  • 5 August 2018KuPS 3–2 Turku PSVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: KuPS and Turku PS

KuPS

  • J. Moreno5 goals
  • B. Armah3 goals
  • P. Pennanen2 goals2 assists

Turku PS

  • A. Muzaci3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.