8 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FF Jaro vs VPS Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Project Liv Arena, Jakobstad
Full time1 – 3

Final score: FF Jaro 1-3 VPS.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% FF Jaro, 26% draw, 36% VPS — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FF Jaro at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FF Jaro0%Draw1%VPS99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Antti-Ville Räisänen
12'
⚽S. Lindholmassist: L. Mane
16'
⚽S. Lindholmassist: J. Turfkruier
33'
Emmanuel Okereke
⚽O. Kass Kawoassist: H. Sjogrell
34'
46'
🔁E. Okerekeout: H. Salomaa
47'
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
🔁A. Vidjeskogout: J. Vikstrom
66'
66'
🔁J. Muzingaout: Y. Daoussi
Fabian Östigard Ness
70'
71'
⚽Y. Daoussiassist: H. Salomaa
🔁K. Hardenout: A. Sabriye
75'
🔁J. Myrevikout: A. Bjonback
75'
83'
🔁A. Raisanenout: R. Simpson
🔁J. Brunellout: V. Lofs
85'
90+2'
🔁K. Kouassivi-Benissanout: C. Holmelund
90+2'
🔁O. Ogunniyiout: J. Vahtera

Line-ups

FF Jaro 4-3-3
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 21J. MyrevikD
  • 6J. BrunellD
  • 4M. OgungbaroD
  • 19F. O. NessD
  • 7J. SkauM
  • 8O. Kass KawoM
  • 16A. VidjeskogM
  • 22K. HardenF
  • 11H. SjogrellF
  • 15R. VikstromF
Substitutes
  • 12J. SnellmanG
  • 77A. Sabriye
  • 2F. KassD
  • 5A. BjonbackD
  • 91V. VuorinenM
  • 20T. SoderstromD
  • 24V. LofsM
  • 27J. VikstromF
  • 30M. NajafiF
Coach: Jens Karlsson
VPS 3-4-1-2
  • 41M. JallohG
  • 23M. NiemiD
  • 6E. OkerekeD
  • 19M. HaukiojaD
  • 13O. OgunniyiM
  • 2L. ManeM
  • 34A. RaisanenM
  • 7J. TurfkruierM
  • 27K. Kouassivi-BenissanF
  • 11J. MuzingaF
  • 14S. LindholmF
Substitutes
  • 12L. VayrynenG
  • 25H. Salomaa
  • 3R. SimpsonD
  • 33A. Kuek
  • 9C. HolmelundF
  • 30J. VahteraM
  • 24Y. DaoussiM
Coach: Jussi Nuorela

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615
6VPS229672922+733

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs VPS

  • 8 August 2026FF Jaro 1–3 VPSVeikkausliiga
  • 10 April 2026VPS 0–0 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • 14 February 2026FF Jaro 1–0 VPSLeague Cup
  • 18 October 2025VPS 1–3 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • 25 July 2025FF Jaro 2–2 VPSVeikkausliiga
  • 11 June 2025FF Jaro 2–2 VPSSuomen Cup

Leading scorers: FF Jaro and VPS

FF Jaro

  • H. Sjögrell5 goals1 assists

VPS

  • L. Smyth5 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.