Latvia vs Cyprus UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Latvia 0-0 Cyprus.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Latvia, 31% draw, 39% Cyprus — fair odds of 3.33, 3.23 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Nations League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cyprus at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Latvia vs Cyprus
Line-ups
- 23R. MatrevicsG
- 11R. SavaļnieksD
- 21D. MeļņiksD
- 5A. ČernomordijsD
- 3D. CirkinD
- 14A. CigaņiksD
- 15D. ZelenkovsM
- 8E. EmsisM
- 10L. VapneM
- 9V. GutkovskisF
- 20R. UldriķisF
- 1N. PuriņšG
- 12F. OrolsG
- 7E. DašķevičsF
- 13R. JurkovskisD
- 22A. SaveļjevsM
- 17M. StrodsM
- 6D. PatijčuksM
- 4O. VientiessD
- 2D. BalodisD
- 1FabianoG
- 17N. TsaroullaD
- 5K. SotiriouD
- 3N. PanagiotouD
- 14G. MalekkidesD
- 18K. ArtymatasM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 23M. EdwardsM
- 13I. KostiM
- 10L. LoizouM
- 9I. PittasF
- 16P. AndreouM
- 6A. ChristouD
- 19S. GeorgiouF
- 11A. KakoullisF
- 4H. KyprianouM
- 12J. MallG
- 22N. MichaelG
- 7A. NeophytouF
- 2K. PileasD
Form going into Latvia vs Cyprus
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
- L0-2away to Armenia25 September 2026
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
- L1-2away to Montenegro25 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Latvia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Latvia vs Cyprus
- 21 March 2024Cyprus 1–1 LatviaFriendlies
The result against the call
Latvia and Cyprus drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Cyprus at 39% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.