Northern Ireland vs Hungary UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Northern Ireland, 31% draw, 43% Hungary — fair odds of 3.85, 3.23 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hungary at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Northern Ireland vs Hungary
Line-ups
- 1P. CharlesG
- 4Tom AtchesonD
- 15Ruairi McConvilleD
- 22C. BrownD
- 5T. HumeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 7E. GalbraithM
- 3J. DevennyM
- 16Patrick KellyM
- 14I. PriceM
- 10J. DonleyF
- 2T. DevlinM
- 6M. ForbesD
- 8D. CharlesF
- 18B. GrahamF
- 12C. HazardG
- 21J. MagennisF
- 17P. McNairD
- 13K. MorrisonM
- 9C. O’NeillF
- 1B. TóthG
- 14B. BollaD
- 6W. OrbánD
- 3M. CsingerD
- 11M. KerkezD
- 13A. SchäferM
- 15Á. CsongvaiM
- 17G. JurekM
- 7Tamás SzücsM
- 10D. SzoboszlaiM
- 16D. LukacsF
- 5A. MarkgráfD
- 18Z. NagyD
- 2A. OsváthD
- 22Á. PécsiG
- 4K. SzűcsD
- 21A. TóthM
- 20M. TóthF
- 19B. VárkonyiD
- 8M. VitálisM
Form going into Northern Ireland vs Hungary
Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League
- W1-0away to Georgia25 September 2026
Hungary
UEFA Nations League
- L0-1Ukraine25 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Northern Ireland vs Hungary
- 29 March 2022Northern Ireland 0–1 HungaryFriendlies
The result against the call
Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hungary at 43% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.