Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Romania 2-4 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Romania, 30% draw, 29% Bosnia & Herzegovina — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Nations League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Romania at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Line-ups
- 1I. RaduG
- 4A. CoubișD
- 15A. BurcăD
- 3M. IlieD
- 23L. EissatD
- 10N. StanciuM
- 17V. ScreciuM
- 22V. DragomirM
- 20D. OlaruM
- 11D. BîrligeaF
- 13V. MihăilăF
- 14A. BorzaD
- 6T. BăluțăM
- 8A. CicâldăuM
- 18C. CîrjanM
- 16V. CojocaruG
- 5V. GhițăD
- 12O. HindrichG
- 19D. MateiM
- 21O. MoruțanF
- 22M. ZlomislićG
- 15A. MemićD
- 18N. KatićD
- 4T. MuharemovićD
- 5S. KolašinacD
- 13I. BašićM
- 8A. GigovićM
- 20E. BajraktarevicM
- 16Ermin MahmićM
- 19Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
- 23H. TabakovićF
- 7Z. SmajlovićD
- 14I. ŠunjićM
- 6B. TahirovićM
- 21S. RadeljićD
- 2N. MujakićD
- 3A. MalicD
- 11J. LukićF
- 1M. JurkasG
- 17A. HasićM
Form going into Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
UEFA Nations League
- L1-2away to Sweden25 September 2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League
- D0-0away to Poland25 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Romania | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 15 November 2025Bosnia & Herzegovina 3–1 RomaniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
- 21 March 2025Romania 0–1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
- 26 September 2022Romania 4–1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League
- 7 June 2022Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 RomaniaUEFA Nations League
The result against the call
Bosnia & Herzegovina won 4–2 at Romania. The model had leaned towards a win for Romania at 41% and given a win for Bosnia & Herzegovina 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Armin Gigovic 12' for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Tarik Muharemovic 19' for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Daniel Birligea 28' for Romania, Haris Tabaković 40' for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Ermin Mahmić 55' for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Alexandru Cicâldău 62' for Romania.