Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 2-2 BSC Young Boys.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Lausanne, 19% draw, 56% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 4.00, 5.26 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BSC Young Boys at 56% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90Melvin MastilG
- 6Theo BergvallD
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 71Abdou Karim SowD
- 18Morgan PoatyD
- 10Olivier CustodioM
- 8Jamie RocheM
- 80Sekou KoneM
- 2Brandon SoppyF
- 78Omar JannehF
- 91Florent MolletF
- 51Ibrahim Bah MendesF
- 11Nathan Butler-OyedejiF
- 49Ilija DespotovicF
- 1Thomas CastellaG
- 3Tyler FredricsonD
- 5Dircssi NgonzoD
- 48Eren Batuhan OzcanM
- 17Seydou TraoreF
- 1Marvin KellerG
- 27Lewin BlumD
- 5Gregory WüthrichD
- 15Cedric ZesigerD
- 3Jaouen HadjamD
- 6Edimilson FernandesM
- 8Armin GigovićM
- 10Alvyn SanchesM
- 29Kastriot ImeriM
- 11Joël MonteiroF
- 99Samuel EssendeF
- 16Christian FassnachtM
- 22Isaac SchmidtD
- 13Dominik PechM
- 23Loris BenitoD
- 30Sandro LauperM
- 18Joel MallG
- 33Stefan BukinacD
- 34Edin EtoskiM
- 25Felix TsimbaF
Form going into Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
- W1-0away to FC Basel 18931 August 2026
- D1-1Grasshoppers25 July 2026
BSC Young Boys
- W6-0away to FC Thun1 August 2026
- W4-2FC Sion26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 3 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
- 8 August 2026Lausanne 2–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 15 March 2026Lausanne 0–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 17 January 2026BSC Young Boys 1–3 LausanneSuper League
- 5 October 2025Lausanne 5–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 3 May 2025Lausanne 3–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 8 March 2025BSC Young Boys 3–0 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: Lausanne and BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
BSC Young Boys
- S. Essende8 goals3 assists
- C. Fassnacht4 goals1 assists
- A. Sanches3 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.