11 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka Premier League prediction & result

Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy
Referee: Yevtukhov Dmytro
Full time2 – 1

Final score: LNZ Cherkasy 2-1 Kudrivka.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% LNZ Cherkasy, 23% draw, 14% Kudrivka — fair odds of 1.59, 4.35 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

LNZ Cherkasy at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

LNZ Cherkasy97%Draw3%Kudrivka0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Talles Brener De Paula (pen)
8'
Artur Ryabov
24'
Artur Ryabov
36'
🔁Mark Assinorout: Oleksandr Drambayev
40'
45'
🔁Oleksandr Beljaevout: Yevgeniy Pasich
🔁Yegor Tverdokhlibout: Yakubu adam
45'
🔁Tedi Caraout: Gennadiy Pasich
45'
⚽Gennadiy Pasich
47'
58'
Dmytro Semenov
62'
🔁Yevgeniy Smyrnyiout: Rodion Plaksa
62'
🔁Artur Dumanyukout: Mykola Vechurko
68'
⚽Raymond Owusuassist: Mykola Vechurko
76'
🔁Denys Svityukhaout: Sergiy Sten
🔁Vitaliy Romanout: Andriy Kitela
79'
84'
🔁Dmytro Semenovout: Reynaldihno Verley
🔁Papa Ndiaga Yadeout: Bogdan Slyubyk
85'
Vitalii Ponomarev
90+3'

Match stats — LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka

37%Possession63%
0On target0

Line-ups

LNZ Cherkasy 3-5-2
  • 1D. LedviiG
  • 25O. GorinD
  • 29R. DidykD
  • 93V. RomanD
  • 77T. CaraM
  • 9E. TverdokhlibM
  • 16A. RyabovM
  • 30TallesM
  • 17D. KuzykM
  • 90M. AssinorF
  • 37P. YadeF
Substitutes
  • 11H. PasichM
  • 75A. KitelaD
  • 14O. DrambaevD
  • 92B. SlyubykD
  • 4A. DajkoD
  • 12O. PalamarchukG
  • 72K. SamoylenkoG
  • 99K. AdedoyinF
  • 20Maksym TlumakM
Coach: Vitaliy Ponomaryov
Kudrivka 4-4-2
  • 37A. YashkovG
  • 22B. VeklyakD
  • 69Y. PotimkovD
  • 50D. SemenovD
  • 91M. MelnychukD
  • 20D. SvityukhaM
  • 19A. DumanyukM
  • 8Y. SmyrnyiM
  • 7I. PetryakM
  • 21O. BelyaevF
  • 24R. OwusuF
Substitutes
  • 9R. VerleyF
  • 12Oleksandr ChobitkoG
  • 17M. SerdyukD
  • 25Mykola OharkovD
  • 42Y. PasichM
  • 70D. YesinM
  • 14K. MakossoM
  • 10R. PlaksaM
  • 71S. StenM
Coach: Yevgen Zadorozhniy

Form going into LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka

LNZ Cherkasy

Premier League

  • L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026

Kudrivka

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Veres Rivne3 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6LNZ Cherkasy115331210+218
15Kudrivka122281229-178

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka

  • 18 May 2026Kudrivka 1–0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
  • 29 November 2025LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 KudrivkaPremier League
  • 25 July 2025Kudrivka 1–2 LNZ CherkasyFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka

LNZ Cherkasy

GoalsAssists

  • P. Yade40

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

LNZ Cherkasy beat Kudrivka 2–1. The model had made a win for LNZ Cherkasy its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Talles Brener De Paula (penalty) 8' for LNZ Cherkasy, Gennadiy Pasich 47' for LNZ Cherkasy, Raymond Owusu 68' for Kudrivka. Sent off: Artur Ryabov (LNZ Cherkasy) 36'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave LNZ Cherkasy a 7.6% chance to finish in the top four: 8.8% after a win, 4.4% after a draw, 4.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.8%, 1.2 points higher than before the match.

For Kudrivka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 83.2% going in: 75.2% after a win, 82.0% after a draw, 85.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 85.4%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on LNZ Cherkasy v Kudrivka has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 55% / 26% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 63% / 23% / 14%: the biggest move is LNZ Cherkasy's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. LNZ Cherkasy win63%▲ +8
  2. Draw23%▼ −3
  3. Kudrivka win14%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.