20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Marumo Gallants 0-2 Orlando Pirates.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Marumo Gallants, 27% draw, 45% Orlando Pirates — fair odds of 3.57, 3.70 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Orlando Pirates at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Marumo Gallants0%Draw1%Orlando Pirates99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁K. Otladisaout: O. Moletshe
22'
32'
⚽K. Kgosietsileassist: T. Mokobodi
47'
Yanela Mbuthuma
🔁M. Sikakaneout: N. Ralenkoane
52'
🔁M. Seketsoout: T. Mohlamme
72'
🔁S. Mbheleout: T. Kutumela
72'
74'
⚽N. Sibisiassist: T. Mokobodi
75'
🔁Y. Mbuthumaout: S. Pedersen
75'
🔁K. Kgosietsileout: M. Padime
83'
🔁N. Ndabaout: N. Rapoo
83'
🔁S. Masilelaout: M. Nemtajela
83'
🔁T. Moremiout: O. Appollis

Match stats — Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates

35%Possession65%
4Shots10
0On target5
4Corners7
0.27xG1.31

Goals against chances

Marumo Gallants0 from 0.27 xGabout what the chances were worth
Orlando Pirates2 from 1.31 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Marumo Gallants 4-2-3-1
  • 30E. LakoG
  • 13K. NcubeD
  • 22M. RikhotsoD
  • 44M. SikakaneD
  • 3S. Ntiya-NtiyaD
  • 15N. NdlondloM
  • 8S. MbheleM
  • 12K. OtladisaM
  • 27M. Seketso
  • 18M. NdlovuM
  • 31E. injili
Substitutes
  • 16K. MlamboG
  • 24Y. MadibaM
  • 43T. MohlammeM
  • 19T. PheehaM
  • 93T. KutumelaF
  • 9O. MoletsheM
  • 11T. DhludhluF
  • 37N. RalenkoaneD
  • 20P. MankuM
Coach: Fillemon Kanalelo Ronnie
Orlando Pirates 4-2-3-1
  • 24S. ChaineG
  • 36K. SebelebeleD
  • 6L. SeemaD
  • 5N. SibisiD
  • 3N. NdabaD
  • 20S. SelepeM
  • 33T. MokobodiM
  • 49K. Kgosietsile
  • 48S. MasilelaM
  • 11T. MoremiM
  • 9Y. MbuthumaF
Substitutes
  • 32S. DladlaG
  • 19N. RapooD
  • 37S. ZuluD
  • 15M. NemtajelaM
  • 29M. MthiyaneM
  • 31S. PedersenF
  • 23G. LunguF
  • 12O. AppollisF
  • 38M. PadimeF
Coach: Abdeslam Ouaddou

Form going into Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates

Marumo Gallants

Premier Soccer League

  • L0-1away to Amazulu12 September 2026
  • D2-2Polokwane City4 September 2026

Orlando Pirates

Premier Soccer League

  • W2-0Durban City17 September 2026
  • W4-0away to Kruger United1 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Marumo Gallants9126917-85
2Orlando Pirates9810212+1925

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates

  • 14 February 2026Orlando Pirates 3–0 Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League
  • 6 December 2025Orlando Pirates 1–0 Marumo GallantsLeague Cup
  • 12 August 2025Marumo Gallants 2–1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 13 April 2025Orlando Pirates 1–0 Marumo GallantsCup
  • 1 March 2025Marumo Gallants 2–0 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates

Marumo Gallants

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ndlovu21

Orlando Pirates

GoalsAssists

  • T. Moremi50
  • B. Radiopane31
  • Y. Mbuthuma30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Orlando Pirates won 2–0 at Marumo Gallants. The model had made a win for Orlando Pirates its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: K. Kgosietsile 32' for Orlando Pirates, N. Sibisi 74' for Orlando Pirates. On expected goals it finished 0.27–1.31.

How the call on Marumo Gallants v Orlando Pirates has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 31% / 28% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 28% / 27% / 45%: the biggest move is Orlando Pirates's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Marumo Gallants win28%▼ −3
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Orlando Pirates win45%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.