3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Morton vs Raith Rovers Championship prediction & result

Cappielow Park, Greenock
Referee: S. Murdoch
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Morton 1-2 Raith Rovers.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Morton, 27% draw, 46% Raith Rovers — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Raith Rovers at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Morton0%Draw4%Raith Rovers96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽J. Roweassist: K. Turner
P. Croker
26'
31'
🔁J. Robertsonout: D. Easton
⚽M. Garrityassist: C. Ballantyne
53'
55'
K. Turner
🔁S. Bashirout: D. Borso
57'
67'
⚽G. Oakleyassist: D. Easton
71'
🔁A. Lyallout: L. Vaughan
71'
🔁K. Turnerout: K. Montagu
🔁J. Longridgeout: L. Murphy
71'
🔁M. Garrityout: D. Black
83'
84'
🔁D. Eastonout: L. Stevenson

Line-ups

Morton 4-2-3-1
  • 31B. KinnearG
  • 2C. BallantyneD
  • 5P. CrokerD
  • 3J. LongridgeD
  • 52L. FairnieD
  • 21G. GillespieM
  • 27I. WilsonM
  • 20C. SandilandsM
  • 19Kerr RobertsonM
  • 17Sahil BashirM
  • 7M. GarrityF
Substitutes
  • 28L. MurphyD
  • 41S. MurdochG
  • 25M. CarseM
  • 12Dylan BorsoF
  • 35D. BlackD
  • 30J. O’TooleM
  • 29M. O'HalloranF
Coach: I. Murray
Raith Rovers 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. RaeG
  • 2J. RoweD
  • 6J. BairdD
  • 4P. HanlonD
  • 3Z. DelaneyD
  • 20S. BrownM
  • 8K. TurnerM
  • 11J. RobertsonM
  • 7A. LyallM
  • 15S. TiffoneyM
  • 9G. OakleyF
Substitutes
  • 10L. VaughanF
  • 16L. StevensonD
  • 25K. MontaguM
  • 22R. MillenD
  • 18P. McMullanF
  • 5C. FordyceD
  • 23D. EastonM
Coach: Dougie Imrie

Scotland Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Morton144191625-913
3Raith Rovers157442112+925

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Morton vs Raith Rovers

  • 11 April 2026Raith Rovers 3–2 MortonChampionship
  • 14 February 2026Morton 0–0 Raith RoversChampionship
  • 1 November 2025Raith Rovers 1–1 MortonChampionship
  • 6 September 2025Morton 0–1 Raith RoversChampionship
  • 26 April 2025Raith Rovers 1–1 MortonChampionship

The result against the call

Raith Rovers won 2–1 at Morton. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Raith Rovers at 46%. The goals: J. Rowe 16' for Raith Rovers, M. Garrity 53' for Morton, G. Oakley 67' for Raith Rovers.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.