3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Partick vs Arbroath Championship prediction & result

Firhill Stadium, Glasgow
Referee: J. Wilkie
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Partick 3-0 Arbroath.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Partick, 29% draw, 29% Arbroath — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Partick at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Partick99%Draw1%Arbroath0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽B. Stanwayassist: S. Drozd
8'
⚽B. Stanwayassist: S. Drozd
20'
25'
S. Mackie
🔁E. Hendersonout: A. Fitzpatrick
63'
🔁A. Samuelout: T. Watt
63'
67'
🔁R. Dowout: C. Daly
67'
🔁A. Winterout: G. Reilly
68'
🔁M. McKennaout: D. Reid
⚽L. Ashcroftassist: O. Smyth
70'
🔁S. Drozdout: G. Mackay-Steven
75'
🔁B. Dempseyout: R. Crawford
75'
76'
🔁S. Mackieout: B. Paterson
83'
🔁R. Flynnout: S. McGill
🔁B. Stanwayout: T. Letsosa
85'
90'
S. Constable

Line-ups

Partick 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. BudinauckasG
  • 24B. McPhersonD
  • 5L. AshcroftD
  • 22C. LoughreyD
  • 3P. ReadingD
  • 6B. DempseyM
  • 8O. SmythM
  • 7S. DrozdM
  • 26B. StanwayM
  • 10E. HendersonM
  • 9A. SamuelF
Substitutes
  • 32T. WattF
  • 21A. FitzpatrickM
  • 14R. CrawfordM
  • 17E. IngramD
  • 64T. LetsosaM
  • 2C. LoganD
  • 11G. Mackay-StevenF
  • 20D. O'ReillyD
  • 27C. StoreyG
Coach: M. Wilson
Arbroath 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. McAdamsG
  • 6T. BeadlingD
  • 16C. WatsonD
  • 22C. DewarD
  • 26S. MackieD
  • 20S. ConstableM
  • 8R. FlynnM
  • 25J. MacIntyreM
  • 14M. McKennaM
  • 11R. DowM
  • 9A. WinterF
Substitutes
  • 10G. ReillyF
  • 21J. PettigrewG
  • 4B. PatersonD
  • 15S. McGillM
  • 3C. HamiltonD
  • 7D. GoldM
  • 19Cormac DalyM
  • 17D. ReidM
Coach: D. Gold

Scotland Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Partick15942219+1231
8Arbroath144281123-1214

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Partick vs Arbroath

  • 25 April 2026Arbroath 0–0 PartickChampionship
  • 28 February 2026Partick 0–0 ArbroathChampionship
  • 13 December 2025Arbroath 2–1 PartickChampionship
  • 4 October 2025Partick 1–1 ArbroathChampionship
  • 23 March 2024Arbroath 0–1 PartickChampionship

The result against the call

Partick beat Arbroath 3–0. The model had made a win for Partick its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Stanway 8' for Partick, B. Stanway 20' for Partick, L. Ashcroft 70' for Partick.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.