OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: OFI 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% OFI, 28% draw, 43% 1899 Hoffenheim — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
1899 Hoffenheim at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Line-ups
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 5K. KostoulasD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 2K. KrizmanićD
- 24L. DickmannM
- 14T. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasF
- 19K. KodroF
- 10Aitor CantalapiedraF
- 17Borja GonzálezD
- 21G. ApostolakisM
- 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
- 8G. KanellópoulosM
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 9A. LeyaF
- 1K. LiloG
- 18T. NussF
- 1O. BaumannG
- 34V. CoufalD
- 5O. KabakD
- 21A. HajdariD
- 39M. RotsD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 8P. WimmerM
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 10A. HložekM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 37L. PhilippG
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 28K. MachidaD
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 2R. HranáčD
- 15V. GendreyD
- 14A. DaghimF
- 20B. ContéM
Form going into OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
OFI
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Olympiakos Piraeus12 September 2026
- W2-0Kifisia6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Aris Thessalonikis30 August 2026
- W2-0away to CSKA Sofia27 August 2026
- W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
All competitions we cover
- W2-1VfB Stuttgart12 September 2026
- L2-3Borussia Dortmund5 September 2026
- L2-3away to 1. FC Köln29 August 2026
What these results say
- OFI scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- OFI won 4 of these 5 matches.
- OFI kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | OFI | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
OFI beat 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for 1899 Hoffenheim at 43% and given a win for OFI 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Aitor Cantalapiedra 30' for OFI, Georgios Kanellopoulos 84' for OFI.
How the call on OFI v 1899 Hoffenheim has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 26% / 28% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 29% / 28% / 43%: the biggest move is OFI's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- OFI win29%▲ +3
- Draw28%=
- 1899 Hoffenheim win43%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.