Oțelul vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Oțelul 1-0 Arges Pitesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Oțelul, 28% draw, 34% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oțelul at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oțelul vs Arges Pitesti
Line-ups
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 3Giannis ChristopoulosD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 8João LameiraM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 30Matei FrunzăF
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 10AndrézinhoF
- 2Milen ZhelevD
- 24Denis BordunM
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 12Darius PaharnicuG
- 13Mario ContraG
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 20Robert OlteanuM
- 18Dragoș AfteneM
- 7João PaulinoF
- 34Cătălin CăbuzG
- 23Florin BorțaD
- 6Mario TudoseD
- 15Guilherme GaruttiD
- 2Costinel TofanD
- 27Rober SierraM
- 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeM
- 22Vadim RațăM
- 17Ricardo MatosF
- 11Yanis PîrvuF
- 99Robert MoldoveanuF
- 16Ionuț RădescuM
- 26Dorinel OanceaD
- 19Claudiu MicovschiF
- 92Taylor LuvamboD
- 9Gabriel CharpentierF
- 1Cătălin StratonG
- 4Evagoras AntoniouD
- 96Silviu BalaureM
- 20Patrick DulceaM
Form going into Oțelul vs Arges Pitesti
Oțelul
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti7 August 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti31 July 2026
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026
Arges Pitesti
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda31 July 2026
- W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026
- L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026
What these results say
- Oțelul conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.
- Arges Pitesti scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Arges Pitesti
- 20 December 2025Oțelul 2–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 18 August 2025Arges Pitesti 2–0 OțelulLiga I
Leading scorers: Oțelul and Arges Pitesti
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Arges Pitesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oțelul beat Arges Pitesti 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Oțelul at 38%. The goal: J. Lameira 51' for Oțelul.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.