24 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result

Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Botev Vratsa 1-0 Botev Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Botev Vratsa, 21% draw, 54% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 4.00, 4.76 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Botev Plovdiv at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Botev Vratsa94%Draw6%Botev Plovdiv0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Preslav Borukov
23'
Ivan Goranov
31'
40'
🔁Vladimir Mendesout: Bogdan Kostov
46'
🔁Nikola Ilievout: Mauro Rodrigues
46'
🔁Chidera Micheal Okohout: Franklin Mascote
Martin Smolenski
55'
56'
Simeon Petrov
🔁Abdullah Kichukovout: Radoslav Tsonev
61'
🔁Martin Smolenskiout: Vladislav Naydenov
61'
66'
🔁Asen Chandarovout: Edson Silva
🔁Preslav Borukovout: Daniel Genov
70'
Vladislav Naydenov
75'
75'
🔁Carlos Meottiout: Dimitar Tonev
Daniel Genov
76'
78'
Mauro Rodrigues
🔁José Gallegosout: Filip Gigov
83'
90+1'
Dimitar Tonev

Line-ups

Botev Vratsa 3-2-4-1
  • 98Lyubomir VasilevG
  • 4Ivan GoranovD
  • 36Milen StoevD
  • 3Sainey SanyangD
  • 6Abdullah KichukovM
  • 12Iliya YurukovM
  • 81Kassim HadjiM
  • 24Martin SmolenskiM
  • 10José GallegosM
  • 79Martin PetkovF
  • 99Preslav BorukovF
Substitutes
  • 97Vladislav NaydenovM
  • 7Radoslav TsonevM
  • 9Daniel GenovM
  • 90Filip GigovF
  • 23Luboslav StoyanovG
  • 21Martin DimitrovD
  • 88Lazar BoyanovD
  • 25Aleksandar BuchkovD
  • 17Samuil MechevF
Coach: Todor Simov
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 29Daniel NaumovG
  • 82Vladimir MendesD
  • 87Simeon PetrovD
  • 22Marvin SengerD
  • 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
  • 77Lucas AraujoM
  • 10Asen ChandarovM
  • 66Carlos MeottiM
  • 7Nikola IlievM
  • 90Samuel KaluM
  • 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
Substitutes
  • 15Bogdan KostovD
  • 19Mauro RodriguesM
  • 30Franklin MascoteF
  • 45Edson SilvaM
  • 23Dimitar TonevM
  • 21Nikolay PrandzhevG
  • 16Ivaylo VidevD
  • 4Nikola SoldoD
  • 20Timothy AwanyD
Coach: Stanislav Genchev

Form going into Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

Botev Vratsa

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5away to CSKA Sofia16 August 2026
  • L0-3Slavia Sofia10 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Ludogorets2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to CSKA 194825 July 2026
  • D1-1Cherno More Varna19 July 2026

Botev Plovdiv

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Ludogorets15 August 2026
  • W3-2Spartak Varna10 August 2026
  • W1-0Cherno More Varna1 August 2026
  • L2-3away to CSKA Sofia27 July 2026
  • D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026

What these results say

  • Botev Vratsa did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Botev Vratsa conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Botev Vratsa had three goals or more.
  • Botev Plovdiv scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Botev Plovdiv conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Botev Vratsa142481124-1310
5Botev Plovdiv147252321+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

  • 14 March 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–3 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 5 October 2025Botev Vratsa 1–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 23 November 2024Botev Plovdiv 3–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 21 July 2024Botev Vratsa 1–3 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 12 April 2024Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Botev VratsaFirst League

Leading scorers: Botev Vratsa and Botev Plovdiv

Botev Vratsa

No player in First League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Botev Plovdiv

GoalsAssists

  • C. Meotti10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Botev Vratsa beat Botev Plovdiv 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Botev Plovdiv at 54% and given a win for Botev Vratsa 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Preslav Borukov 23' for Botev Vratsa.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.