Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 Farul Constanta.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 21% draw, 41% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.63, 4.76 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Farul Constanta at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta
Line-ups
- 91David LazarG
- 2Gustavo CascardoD
- 31Lindsay RoseD
- 4Setigui KaramokoD
- 3Fábio ViannaD
- 17Doru AndreiM
- 6Nicolae PăunM
- 7Robert SilaghiM
- 20Nacho HerasF
- 14Moses MawaF
- 23Hunor BatzulaF
- 88Carl DavordzieF
- 11Dimitri OberlinF
- 27Raul CîmpeanM
- 5Bogdan VătăjeluD
- 25Bogdan OtelițăD
- 33Szilárd GyengeG
- 21Alin DobrosavleviciD
- 30Ákos NistorM
- 19Giovani GhimfușM
- 12Rafael MunteanuG
- 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
- 6Victor DicanD
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 22Dan SîrbuM
- 23Tony NjikéM
- 70Matteo AhlinviM
- 3Valentin ȚicuM
- 10Eddy SylvestreF
- 19Iustin DoicaruF
- 20Eduard RadaslavescuF
- 7Denis AlibecF
- 28Cristian SimaF
- 80Nicolas PopescuM
- 99Răzvan MarinceanF
- 91David BarbuG
- 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
- 14Ianis PodoleanuM
- 2David MafteiD
- 93Steve FurtadoD
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Csikszereda15 August 2026
- D0-0FCSB10 August 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara2 August 2026
- W1-0Universitatea Cluj26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid20 July 2026
Farul Constanta
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
- W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
- D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe had two goals or fewer.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Farul Constanta.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta
- 12 April 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–4 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 6 February 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 22 September 2024Farul Constanta 2–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 3 May 2024Farul Constanta 1–4 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 5 April 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- M. Ahlinvi71
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Farul Constanta at 41% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: H. Batzula 50' for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, C. Sima 53' for Farul Constanta.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.