Arbroath sit 8th in the Championship on 14 points from 14 matches, having scored 11 and conceded 23. On the model's scale they rate 0.37 in attack and 2.57 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.45 and 2.24: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently beating Ayr Utd 4-1 at home. That is 1.00 points a match, scoring 0.79 and conceding 1.64 per game across 4 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats. That leaves them 17 points behind Partick at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Stenhousemuir in the Championship on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | DWLWW | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | LLLLW | 26 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:12 | +9 | DLWDL | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | DWWWD | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:12 | +9 | DWWDW | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | WWLDL | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | DLWLW | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLLW | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | WWWWL | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8:25 | -17 | LLLLL | 7 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Arbroath sit 8 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-1Ayr Utd7 November 2026
- L0-4Raith Rovers31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Livingston24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Inverness CT17 October 2026
- L1-2Morton10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir
Arbroath host Stenhousemuir at Gayfield Park, Arbroath on 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 35% Arbroath, 28% draw and 37% Stenhousemuir, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.33 expected goals for Arbroath against 1.36. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Full preview and model analysis for Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir
Recent meetings with Stenhousemuir
- 19 September 2026Stenhousemuir 1–0 ArbroathChampionship
- 12 April 2025Arbroath 4–0 StenhousemuirLeague One
- 22 February 2025Stenhousemuir 2–0 ArbroathLeague One
- 2 November 2024Arbroath 1–0 StenhousemuirLeague One
- 3 August 2024Stenhousemuir 2–1 ArbroathLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Arbroath
-
Dunfermline v Morton · 21 November 2026
Arbroath fans want Dunfermline to win: that leaves Arbroath's risk of a bottom-two finish at 38.3%, against 44.3% if Morton win (39.3% today).
Dunfermline win38.3%−1.0Draw40.2%+0.9Morton win44.3%+5.0 -
Queen's Park v Livingston · 21 November 2026
Arbroath fans want Livingston to win: that leaves Arbroath's risk of a bottom-two finish at 38.9%, against 41.0% if Queen's Park win (39.3% today).
Queen's Park win41.0%+1.7Draw39.3%=Livingston win38.9%−0.4
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Arbroath's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.