11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava Super Liga prediction & result

ZELPO Arena, Podbrezova
Referee: Jaroslav Sucka, Slovakia
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Podbrezová 1-3 Spartak Trnava.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Podbrezová, 27% draw, 41% Spartak Trnava — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Spartak Trnava at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Podbrezová0%Draw1%Spartak Trnava99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
⚽T. Kudlickaassist: G. Moistsrapishvili
35'
⚽T. Kudlickaassist: L. Khorkheli
40'
M. Lausic
M. Khyminets
40'
46'
🔁E. Saboout: P. Nwadike
🔁J. Krivakout: V. Chyla
46'
S. Stefanik
59'
🔁F. Momohout: B. Mrvaljevic
63'
🔁S. Stefanikout: K. Miljanic
64'
66'
K. Kostrna
72'
⚽P. Azangoassist: M. Lausic
73'
🔁T. Kudlickaout: D. Poltak
74'
🔁K. Kostrnaout: L. Holik
🔁O. Demlout: L. Silagadze
74'
🔁M. Khyminetsout: M. Rusnak
74'
79'
🔁G. Moistsrapishviliout: R. Begala
V. Chyla
82'
86'
🔁M. Lausicout: R. Prochazka
⚽M. Chrienassist: K. Miljanic
88'
90'
J. Carrion
P. Kovacik
90+2'

Match stats — Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava

48%Possession52%
12Shots11
4On target3
3Corners4

Line-ups

Podbrezová 3-4-3
  • 70L. DomaniskyG
  • 37J. LukaD
  • 20J. KrivakD
  • 5R. LamprehtD
  • 77P. KovacikM
  • 26S. StefanikM
  • 15R. ParajM
  • 8O. DemlM
  • 14M. KhyminetsF
  • 9M. ChrienF
  • 22F. MomohF
Substitutes
  • 41I. Rehak
  • 25R. KejvalD
  • 19S. SaidyD
  • 66M. RusnakM
  • 13V. ChylaM
  • 11B. MrvaljevicF
  • 7L. SilagadzeM
  • 27K. MiljanicF
Coach: Stefan Markulik
Spartak Trnava 4-2-3-1
  • 72M. VantrubaG
  • 24K. KostrnaD
  • 52E. SaboD
  • 13M. UjlakyD
  • 3J. CarrionD
  • 8G. MoistsrapishviliM
  • 91M. LausicM
  • 11P. AzangoM
  • 30L. KhorkheliM
  • 20F. TrelloM
  • 19T. KudlickaF
Substitutes
  • 40T. JablonickyG
  • 21L. FabisD
  • 4L. HolikD
  • 2P. NwadikeD
  • 6R. ProchazkaM
  • 5R. BegalaM
  • 22D. BukovskyM
  • 97D. PoltakF
  • 17L. MehmetiM
Coach: Antonio Munoz

Form going into Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava

Podbrezová

No earlier matches on record this season.

Spartak Trnava

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to CSKA 194828 July 2026
  • D0-0CSKA 194822 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Podbrezová146262324-120
4Spartak Trnava147432818+1025

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava

  • 3 May 2026Podbrezová 0–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 5 April 2026Spartak Trnava 4–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 3 March 2026Podbrezová 4–1 Spartak TrnavaCup
  • 21 February 2026Spartak Trnava 0–5 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 3 December 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava

Podbrezová

GoalsAssists

  • B. Mrvaljević40
  • M. Chrien40
  • R. Šiler30

Spartak Trnava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Kudlička31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Spartak Trnava won 3–1 at Podbrezová. The model had made a win for Spartak Trnava its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Kudlicka 18' for Spartak Trnava, T. Kudlicka 35' for Spartak Trnava, P. Azango 72' for Spartak Trnava, M. Chrien 88' for Podbrezová.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Podbrezová a 19.3% chance to finish in the top four: 27.8% after a win, 17.4% after a draw, 13.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.3%, 6 points lower than before the match.

For Spartak Trnava the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 86.2% going in: 92.2% after a win, 87.4% after a draw, 79.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 92.2%, 6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Podbrezová v Spartak Trnava has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 32% / 29% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Spartak Trnava's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Podbrezová win32%=
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Spartak Trnava win41%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.