Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 2-1 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Pohang Steelers, 29% draw, 46% FC Seoul — fair odds of 4.00, 3.45 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
Line-ups
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 27Moon Seon-MinM
- 10Anderson OliveiraF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 14Jeong Hyeon-WooF
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 21Jung Ha-wonM
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Daejeon Citizen12 September 2026
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC9 September 2026
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gangwon FC30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Jeju United FC25 August 2026
FC Seoul
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Jeonbuk Motors12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Ulsan Hyundai FC8 September 2026
- W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
- W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
What these results say
- Pohang Steelers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 44 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
- 22 July 2026FC Seoul 3–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 18 March 2026Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC SeoulK League 1
- 9 November 2025Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC SeoulK League 1
- 18 October 2025FC Seoul 1–2 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 29 June 2025FC Seoul 4–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Juninho Rocha41
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pohang Steelers beat FC Seoul 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 46% and given a win for Pohang Steelers 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: K. Nishiya 3' for Pohang Steelers, Hwang Seo-Woong 39' for Pohang Steelers, P. Klimala (penalty) 51' for FC Seoul.
How the call on Pohang Steelers v FC Seoul has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 28% / 29% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 25% / 29% / 46%: the biggest move is Pohang Steelers's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Pohang Steelers win25%▼ −3
- Draw29%=
- FC Seoul win46%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.