Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 0-1 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Gangwon FC, 27% draw, 22% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 97Lee You-HyeonD
- 24H. ParkD
- 71Kang Seong-yunD
- 33Hong ChulD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 27Kim Do-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 41Y. KimG
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 57Lee Yong-JaeM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 77A. HleihelF
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 2T. FigueiredoD
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 5ItaloM
- 20M. JangM
- 33Park Su-binM
- 94Emerson NeguebaF
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
- 81J. HeoG
- 3J. CelestineD
- 6Kwon Gi-minD
- 40Kim Ryun-sungD
- 47Park Min-jaeF
- 22E. CinariF
- 39Kim Jae-minM
- 55Kang Dong-hwiM
- 11Shin Sang-EunF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC13 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
Jeju United FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Bucheon FC 199512 September 2026
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC9 September 2026
- D0-0Ulsan Hyundai FC5 September 2026
- W3-1Daejeon Citizen30 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers25 August 2026
What these results say
- Gangwon FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeju United FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
- 21 July 2026Jeju United FC 1–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 22 March 2026Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 15 August 2025Jeju United FC 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 6 May 2025Jeju United FC 0–3 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 2 March 2025Gangwon FC 0–0 Jeju United FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba62
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeju United FC won 1–0 at Gangwon FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 51% and given a win for Jeju United FC 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Italo 36' for Jeju United FC.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Jeju United FC has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 31% / 30% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, up 20 points.
- Gangwon FC win51%▲ +20
- Draw27%▼ −3
- Jeju United FC win22%▼ −17
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.