Reims vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Reims 1-1 Montpellier.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Reims, 30% draw, 30% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Reims at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Reims vs Montpellier
Line-ups
- 1T. HülsmannG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 28N. AhouononD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 6T. LeoniM
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 87A. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 77Quentin ParisF
- 7T. DiarrassoubaF
- 76J. CelestinD
- 18Sergio AkiemeD
- 30J. PatrickM
- 48A. GadouF
- 21J. MambukuD
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 5John OtomewoD
- 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
- 3Naoufel El HannachD
- 15J. LaporteD
- 17T. Sainte-LuceD
- 28Y. ZouaouiD
- 27D. MeddahM
- 5F. TardieuM
- 18N. PaysM
- 44T. ChennahiM
- 19N. MukieleM
- 11M. CamaraF
- 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
- 58A. SissokoD
- 9Lacine Megnan-PaveF
- 39J. HatchiF
- 50V. DžodiÄG
- 23Daryll BenlahlouF
- 90Gregory AyemM
- 32Hichem AbderrebiM
Form going into Reims vs Montpellier
Reims
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Nancy11 September 2026
- D2-2Guingamp5 September 2026
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
Montpellier
All competitions we cover
- W1-0PAU11 September 2026
- L1-3away to Saint Etienne5 September 2026
- D0-0Boulogne28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dunkerque21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nancy14 August 2026
What these results say
- Reims went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Reims scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Reims conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Montpellier scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Montpellier kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Montpellier had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reims vs Montpellier
- 27 February 2026Montpellier 0–0 ReimsLigue 2
- 24 November 2025Reims 2–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 27 April 2025Montpellier 0–0 ReimsLigue 1
- 6 October 2024Reims 4–2 MontpellierLigue 1
- 21 April 2024Reims 1–2 MontpellierLigue 1
- 27 August 2023Montpellier 1–3 ReimsLigue 1
Leading scorers: Reims and Montpellier
Reims
GoalsAssists
- Y. Fofana112
Montpellier
GoalsAssists
- N. Pays52
- Lacine Megnan-Pave42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Reims and Montpellier drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Reims at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nordan Mukiele 7' for Montpellier, Yaya Fofana 33' for Reims. Sent off: Armel Zohouri (Reims) 71'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.