Rodez vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Rodez 3-4 Nancy.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rodez, 29% draw, 32% Nancy — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Rodez at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodez vs Nancy
Line-ups
- 30E. CrombezG
- 24L. QuenabioD
- 4M. MagninD
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 28S. Luyambula BiwaM
- 10M. SakaM
- 6J. MendesM
- 29Antonin CartillierM
- 9N. NsingiF
- 11M. TouhoF
- 22O. JolyM
- 13C. RoubiouD
- 27M. Essimi AtebaF
- 16L. MargueronG
- 7K. NageraF
- 21K. NsonaF
- 8D. PavlovićM
- 20R. PontiD
- 17L. Vungele VangiD
- 1E. BasilioG
- 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
- 77Y. NahounouD
- 21E. MendyD
- 44E. TacafredD
- 70N. KandilM
- 6K. KebeM
- 8W. BouabdelliM
- 12El HadariM
- 9I. HousniF
- 5P. Meïssa BaF
- 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
- 7Z. FdaouchF
- 45C. El HansarM
- 10A. DabasseF
- 11I. CisseF
- 25J. GélinM
- 30G. LembetG
- 14N. Saint-RufD
- 22L. NdenbeD
Form going into Rodez vs Nancy
Rodez
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Grenoble11 September 2026
- L1-4away to Metz5 September 2026
- D2-2PAU28 August 2026
- W5-2away to Nantes22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
Nancy
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Reims11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Nantes7 September 2026
- W2-0Dunkerque28 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026
- L0-1Montpellier14 August 2026
What these results say
- Rodez conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rodez failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Nancy had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rodez | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 2 | Nancy | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodez vs Nancy
- 23 January 2026Nancy 1–3 RodezLigue 2
- 9 August 2025Rodez 0–0 NancyLigue 2
- 19 April 2022Rodez 1–1 NancyLigue 2
- 20 November 2021Nancy 0–2 RodezLigue 2
- 8 May 2021Rodez 1–1 NancyLigue 2
- 8 January 2021Nancy 2–2 RodezLigue 2
Leading scorers: Rodez and Nancy
Rodez
GoalsAssists
- I. Baldé50
Nancy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nancy won 4–3 at Rodez. The model had leaned towards a win for Rodez at 39% and given a win for Nancy 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ilyes Housni 4' for Nancy, Yannis Nahounou (own goal) 7' for Rodez, Raphael Lipinski 20' for Rodez, Pape Meissa Ba 47' for Nancy, Nehemiah Fernandez 51' for Nancy, Jean Lambert Evan's 59' for Rodez, Pape Meissa Ba 74' for Nancy.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.