Laval vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Laval 1-1 Sochaux.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Laval, 30% draw, 32% Sochaux — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Laval at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Laval vs Sochaux
Line-ups
- 30M. SamassaG
- 23E. MoutonD
- 24S. BaneD
- 18A. LôD
- 35Joseph SambD
- 6S. SannaM
- 21Alessio BeaudouinM
- 32Y. CourtM
- 31M. HoudayerM
- 28A. KantéF
- 20E. ClavreulF
- 3W. BiandaD
- 27Alpha DialloM
- 22J. GaudinD
- 7C. GourichyM
- 1M. HautboisG
- 5J. MaggiottiM
- 14C. MandoukiM
- 33S. MellierM
- 29M. SidibeM
- 40M. JeanninG
- 17B. YoussoufD
- 14M. PeybernesD
- 26E. N'GattaD
- 42Dylan TavaresD
- 21B. DiawaraM
- 24Y. DemoncyM
- 11L. DeedsonM
- 19V. LobryM
- 7B. GomelM
- 91M. ClairiciaF
- 4A. VitelliD
- 97S. AgouzoulD
- 5S. BaghdadiF
- 9K. DjocoF
- 10B. FofanaF
- 3D. GomisD
- 15J. MexiqueM
- 77L. NomelF
- 30A. PierreG
Form going into Laval vs Sochaux
Laval
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Dijon11 September 2026
- L1-2RED Star FC 934 September 2026
- L0-3Grenoble28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Metz22 August 2026
- W2-1Nantes14 August 2026
Sochaux
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Nantes12 September 2026
- D1-1away to PAU4 September 2026
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot28 August 2026
- W1-0Guingamp21 August 2026
- D0-0away to RED Star FC 9314 August 2026
What these results say
- Laval conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Laval failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Laval scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sochaux went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sochaux had two goals or fewer.
- Sochaux kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Laval | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Laval vs Sochaux
- 22 April 2023Laval 2–1 SochauxLigue 2
- 2 September 2022Sochaux 4–1 LavalLigue 2
- 17 February 2017Sochaux 1–1 LavalLigue 2
- 20 September 2016Laval 1–1 SochauxLigue 2
- 8 April 2016Laval 1–2 SochauxLigue 2
- 24 November 2015Sochaux 0–0 LavalLigue 2
Leading scorers: Laval and Sochaux
Laval
GoalsAssists
- M. Houdayer40
Sochaux
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Laval and Sochaux drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Laval at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Samy Baghdadi 79' for Sochaux, Sam Sanna 83' for Laval.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.