San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: San Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% San Lorenzo, 29% draw, 30% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
San Lorenzo at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25J. DevecchiG
- 32E. HerreraD
- 2D. ArboledaD
- 19E. AmorD
- 3T. Rodriguez PaganoD
- 5I. PerruzziM
- 8M. InsaurraldeM
- 24N. TripichioM
- 38F. FariasM
- 9A. CuelloM
- 29R. AuzmendiF
- 20F. AltamiranoG
- 6M. De RitisD
- 42F. LorenzonD
- 30N. AriasD
- 35A. CordobaD
- 62G. AlassiaM
- 39U. OjedaM
- 13J. RattalinoM
- 14A. LadstatterF
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalanD
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 23G. Baez CorradiD
- 5M. A. GalarzaM
- 15J. SforzaM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 19F. CristaldoM
- 37RickM
- 9A. AlvarezF
- 1S. BarbiG
- 44S. FernandezD
- 3A. MaidanaD
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 31B. TreyM
- 25T. BaroniM
- 39L. Ortiz
- 10G. BaroniM
- 49V. DavilaF
Form going into San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto21 August 2026
- W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
- L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
- D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
- L1-3away to Gimnasia Mendoza18 August 2026
- L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for San Lorenzo had two goals or fewer.
- San Lorenzo failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- San Lorenzo failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Talleres Cordoba had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
GoalsAssists
- R. Auzmendi72
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
San Lorenzo beat Talleres Cordoba 1–0. The model had made a win for San Lorenzo its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Cuello 63' for San Lorenzo. Sent off: Matias Galarza (Talleres Cordoba) 58'. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.14.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.