5 September 2026, 22:00 UTC

San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Full time1 – 0

Final score: San Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% San Lorenzo, 29% draw, 30% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

San Lorenzo at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

San Lorenzo97%Draw3%Talleres Cordoba0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Matias Galarza
Rodrigo Auzmendi
43'
58'
Matias Galarza
58'
Matias Galarza
60'
Valentín Depietri
⚽A. Cuello
63'
68'
🔁V. Depietriout: G. Baroni
68'
🔁A. Alvarezout: V. Davila
🔁M. Insaurraldeout: J. Rattalino
77'
🔁F. Fariasout: F. Gulli
77'
🔁R. Auzmendiout: A. Ladstatter
82'
Alexis Cuello
88'
🔁A. Cuelloout: E. Salas
90+2'

Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba

47%Possession53%
19Shots15
4On target6
6Corners4
1.75xG1.14

Goals against chances

San Lorenzo1 from 1.75 xGless than the chances were worth
Talleres Cordoba0 from 1.14 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

San Lorenzo
  • 25J. DevecchiG
  • 32E. HerreraD
  • 2D. ArboledaD
  • 19E. AmorD
  • 3T. Rodriguez PaganoD
  • 5I. PerruzziM
  • 8M. InsaurraldeM
  • 24N. TripichioM
  • 38F. FariasM
  • 9A. CuelloM
  • 29R. AuzmendiF
Substitutes
  • 20F. AltamiranoG
  • 6M. De RitisD
  • 42F. LorenzonD
  • 30N. AriasD
  • 35A. CordobaD
  • 62G. AlassiaM
  • 39U. OjedaM
  • 13J. RattalinoM
  • 14A. LadstatterF
Talleres Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 32E. UnsainG
  • 20A. SchottD
  • 4M. CatalanD
  • 13V. FascendiniD
  • 23G. Baez CorradiD
  • 5M. A. GalarzaM
  • 15J. SforzaM
  • 11V. DepietriM
  • 19F. CristaldoM
  • 37RickM
  • 9A. AlvarezF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BarbiG
  • 44S. FernandezD
  • 3A. MaidanaD
  • 2T. ChamorroD
  • 31B. TreyM
  • 25T. BaroniM
  • 39L. Ortiz
  • 10G. BaroniM
  • 49V. DavilaF
Coach: Omar De Felippe

Form going into San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba

San Lorenzo

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba1 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto21 August 2026
  • W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
  • L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026

Talleres Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
  • D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Gimnasia Mendoza18 August 2026
  • L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11San Lorenzo16547916-719
13Talleres Cordoba163491723-613

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Talleres Cordoba

San Lorenzo

GoalsAssists

  • R. Auzmendi72

Talleres Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

San Lorenzo beat Talleres Cordoba 1–0. The model had made a win for San Lorenzo its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Cuello 63' for San Lorenzo. Sent off: Matias Galarza (Talleres Cordoba) 58'. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.14.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.