Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Holstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Holstein Kiel, 29% draw, 30% 1. FC Nürnberg — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Holstein Kiel at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
- L0-2away to 1. FC Magdeburg30 August 2026
- D2-2FC St. Pauli14 August 2026
- D2-2away to SV Darmstadt 988 August 2026
1. FC Nürnberg
- W4-1Arminia Bielefeld29 August 2026
- W4-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth15 August 2026
- W3-0Dynamo Dresden9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg
- 14 March 2026Holstein Kiel 2–3 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
- 19 October 20251. FC Nürnberg 1–1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- 6 April 2024FC Nurnberg 0–4 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- 29 October 2023Holstein Kiel 0–2 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga
- 15 April 2023Holstein Kiel 2–1 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga
- 9 October 2022FC Nurnberg 2–3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
- P. Harres3 goals2 assists
1. FC Nürnberg
- M. Zoma5 goals
- J. Justvan3 goals1 assists
- P. Scobel3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.