5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result

Stora Valla, Degerfors
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Degerfors IF 2-0 Halmstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Degerfors IF, 31% draw, 28% Halmstad — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Degerfors IF at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Degerfors IF99%Draw1%Halmstad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
Tom Trybull
35'
🔁Marvin Illaryout: Erik Ludvig Arvidsson
🔁Arman Taranisout: Elias Barsoum
60'
🔁Sebastian Ohlssonout: Samba Diatara
60'
64'
🔁Ajdin Zeljkovicout: Omar Faraj
🔁K Bouteraout: Nahom Girmai
69'
🔁Noel Milleskogout: Ludvig Fritzson
69'
Dijan Vukojevic
75'
⚽Ludvig Fritzsonassist: Dijan Vukojevic
76'
Samba Diatara
79'
80'
🔁Niilo Mäenpääout: Malte Persson
🔁Dijan Vukojevicout: Sebastian Ohlsson
87'
⚽Nahom Girmaiassist: Elias Barsoum
88'

Match stats — Degerfors IF vs Halmstad

49%Possession51%
21Shots11
5On target3
12Corners3

Line-ups

Degerfors IF 4-2-3-1
  • 38M. IgonenG
  • 16S. OhlssonD
  • 2Ahmad FaqaD
  • 3Nikolai SkusethD
  • 6D. SundgrenD
  • 8B. HusseinM
  • 4K. KarlssonM
  • 10N. MilleskogM
  • 11D. VukojevićM
  • 17Arman TaranisM
  • 9K. BouteraF
Substitutes
  • 13M. HamiltonM
  • 20E. BarsoumM
  • 18S. DiataraD
  • 14L. FritzsonF
  • 22N. Girmai NetabayM
  • 1W. JakobssonG
  • 7S. OhlssonD
  • 28J. HernandezD
  • 15N. MoroD
Coach: H. Goitom
Halmstad 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 27R. AsconeM
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
Substitutes
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 16E. TõugjasD
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisF
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 11L. ArvidssonF
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 35A. WihedG
  • 9O. FarajF
Coach: S. Baxter

Form going into Degerfors IF vs Halmstad

Degerfors IF

  • L0-2away to IF Elfsborg29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to IF Brommapojkarna23 August 2026
  • W3-0IFK Goteborg16 August 2026

Halmstad

  • W1-0Kalmar FF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Degerfors IF2154121933-1419
16Halmstad2125141439-2511

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad

  • 5 September 2026Degerfors IF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 12 April 2026Halmstad 0–3 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 20 October 2025Degerfors IF 0–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 30 March 2025Halmstad 0–5 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 7 October 2023Halmstad 0–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 8 April 2023Degerfors IF 3–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.